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In the middle of page 30...
... CJCS (Chairman of the Joint Chiefs Staff). 2021. “No-Strike and the Collateral Damage Estimation Methodology.” Chairman of the Joint Chiefs Staff Instructions. CJCSI 3160.01D. May 21. Washington, DC. Controlled ...
In the middle of page 30...
... Clinton, W. 1994. “A National Security Strategy of Engagement and Enlargement.” Washington, DC. https://history.defense.gov/Portals/70/Documents/nss/nss1994.pdf....
In the middle of page 30...
... Potential Responses in Case Putin Takes Extreme Step in Ukraine.” CNN Politics, March 25. https://www.cnn.com/2022/03/24/politics/us-planning-on-how-to-counter-putin/index.html....
In the middle of page 30...
... Cooper, J. 2023. Briefing to the committee (PANTHR Program Manager, Science and Technology Directorate, Department of Homeland Security). Meeting 5. January....
At the bottom of page 30...
... DHS (Department of Homeland Security). 2021. “Unclassified Remarks for Phase 1.” (DHS, Phase I, 2021)....
At the bottom of page 30...
... DHS. 2022. “Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear Strategic Risk Assessment Summary.” October 21....
At the bottom of page 30...
... DIA (Defense Intelligence Agency). 2009. A Tradecraft Primer: Structured Analytic Techniques for Improving Intelligence Analysis. 2nd edition. Directorate for Analysis Research. March. https://www.dia.mil/FOIA/FOIA-Electronic-Reading-Room/FileId/161442....
At the bottom of page 30...
... DSB (Defense Science Board). 2019. National Leadership Command Capability (NLCC). DSB Summer Study. Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Research and Engineering (OUSD [R&E]). December 16....
At the bottom of page 30...
... Gottemoeller, R. 2022. Briefing to the committee (Rose Gottemoeller, Department of State and United Nations [retired]). Meeting 4. December....
At the top of page 31...
... Granholm, J.M. 2023. “Russia’s Ongoing Assault on Nuclear Safety and Security Endangers the World.” The Hill, March 14. https://thehill.com/opinion/congress-blog/3900184-russias-ongoing-assault-on-nuclear-safety-and-...
At the top of page 31...
... IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency). 2022. IAEA Director General, “Verification and Monitoring in the Islamic Republic of Iran in Light of United Nations Security Council Resolution 2231 (2015).” September 7. GOV/2022/39. gov2022-...
In the middle of page 31...
...” (H.-O. Pörtner, D.C. Roberts, E.S. Poloczanska, K. Mintenbeck, M. Tignor, A. Alegría, M. Craig, S. Langsdorf, S. Löschke, V. Möller, and A. Okem, eds.). In Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Sixth Assessment Report of ... . (H.-O. Pörtner, D.C. Roberts, M. Tignor, E.S. Poloczanska, K. Mintenbeck, A. Alegría, M. Craig, S. Langsdorf, S. Löschke, V. Möller, A. Okem, and B. Rama, eds.). Cambridge, UK, and New York: Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009325844.001....
In the middle of page 31...
... Leslie, C. 2022. Briefing to the committee (Caryn Leslie, Central Intelligence Agency [retired], and director, National Academies’ Intelligence Studies Board). Meeting 4. December....
In the middle of page 31...
... Long, A. 2022. Briefing to the committee (Dr. Austin G. Long, Acting Director, J5 and Strategic Stability). Meeting 1. August....
In the middle of page 31...
... Lowenthal, M. 2022. Briefing to the committee (Micah Lowenthal, director, National Academies’ Committee on International Security and Arms Control). Meeting 1. August....
In the middle of page 31...
... Lucast, R., et al. 2022. Briefing to the committee (Rebecca Lucast, Amanda Weaver, Sarah Bender, Dan Migrone, Donald Puglisi, Drew Nichols [director, Nuclear Materials Information Program]; DOE-IN, Nuclear Materials ...
In the middle of page 31...
... Miles, A. 2022. Briefing to the committee (Aaron Miles, Senior Advisor, Office of Strategic Stability and Deterrence Affairs, Arms Control, Verification, and Compliance, Department of State). Meeting 4. December....
At the bottom of page 31...
... Nakashima, E., and A. Parker. 2022. “Inside the White House: Preparations for a Russian Invasion.” Washington Post. February 14....
At the bottom of page 31...
... NASEM (National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine). 2021. Restoring and Improving Nuclear Forensics to Support Attribution and Deterrence: Public Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/26167....
At the bottom of page 31...
... NASEM. 2023a. Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/26609. (Phase I report)....
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... NASEM. 2023b. Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism: Phase II (Abbreviated Report of the CUI Version). Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/27393....
At the bottom of page 31...
... NDSC (National Defense Strategy Commission). 2018. Providing for the Common Defense: The Assessment and Recommendations of the National Defense Strategy Commission. Washington, DC: United Institute of Peace. https://www.usip.org/sites/default/files/2018-...
At the bottom of page 31...
... Nicolaidis, C. 2022. Briefing to the committee (Costa Nicolaidis, Department of State, Bureau of International Security and Nonproliferation). Meeting 4. December....
At the bottom of page 31...
... Paté-Cornell, E. 2011. “An Introduction to Probabilistic Risk Analysis for Engineered Systems.” In Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science (J.J. Cochran, L.A. Cox, P. Keskinocak, J.P. Kharoufeh, and J.C. Smith, eds.). https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470400531.eorms0680....
In the middle of page 32...
... Pavlick, J. 2023. Briefing to the committee (Risk Lead, Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction Directorate, Department of Homeland Security). Meeting 5. January....
In the middle of page 32...
... Sanger, D.E., E. Schmitt, H. Cooper, and J.E. Barnes. 2022. “U.S. Makes Contingency Plans in Case Russia Uses Its Most Powerful Weapons.” New York Times, March 23. https://www.nytimes....
In the middle of page 32...
... Sward, M. 2023. Briefing to the committee (Mr. Mark Sward, chief, Nuclear Effects Division, Nuclear Technologies Department, Research and Development Directorate, Defense Threat Reduction Agency). Meeting 5. January....
In the middle of page 32...
... Tilden, J., and D. Boyd. 2022. Briefing to the committee (Jay Tilden, National Nuclear Security Administration, Associate Administrator and Deputy Under Secretary for Counterterrorism and Counterproliferation for NA-80; Dallas Boyd, Executive Director and Chief of Staff for NA-80). ...
In the middle of page 32...
... USSTRATCOM (U.S. Strategic Command). 2021a. “Nuclear Planning Guidance.” Presentation slides at May 27, 2021, committee meeting. USSTRATCOM Phase I brief, 2021....
In the middle of page 32...
... USSTRATCOM. 2021b. “US Strategic Command Campaign Plan 8000-22.” December 14. [Annex B and C not available.]...
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... Vaddi, P., et al. 2022. Briefing to the committee (Senior Director Pranay Vaddi and others). Meeting 1. August....
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... White House. 2022. “Joint Statement of the Leaders of the Five Nuclear-Weapon States on Preventing Nuclear War and Avoiding Arms Races.” January 3. https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/01/03/p5-statement-on-preventing-nuclear-war-and-...
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... Wohlstetter, R. 1962. Pearl Harbor: Warning and Decision. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press....

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