@BOOK{NAP26697, author = "National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine", editor = "Anthony Fainberg and Dionna Ali", title = "Anticipating Rare Events of Major Significance: Abbreviated Version of a Proceedings of a Workshop—in Brief", doi = "10.17226/26697", abstract = "The Intelligence Community Studies Board of the National\nAcademies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine convened a 1-\nday classified workshop on March 2, 2022, to discuss the Defense\nThreat Reduction Agency\u2019s (DTRA\u2019s) methodologies and rare\nevent anticipatory models and share insights from the\nunclassified Workshop on Anticipating Rare Events of Major\nSignificance held on December 17 and 21, 2021. A\nmajor goal of both workshops was to examine the methodologies\nand experiences of other disciplines in dealing with significant\nrare events with a view to aiding DTRA in examining and further\ndeveloping its own methodologies to address rare events of\nparticular concern to that agency. In accordance with procedures established by the National Academies for classified activities, this abbreviated version is an unclassified summary of a classified Proceedings of a Workshop\u2014in Brief.", url = "https://nap.nationalacademies.org/catalog/26697/anticipating-rare-events-of-major-significance-abbreviated-version-of-a", year = 2022, publisher = "The National Academies Press", address = "Washington, DC" }