Emerging Cognitive Neuroscience and Related Technologies (2008) / Chapter Skim
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Appendix C: Committee Methodology
Pages 162-172

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From page 162...
... 20-27. 1The definitions used by the DIA for these terms are as follows: Futures -- Create a technology roadmap and forecast; identify potential observables to aid in the tracking of technological advances.
From page 163...
... to validate its selection of the technology topics addressed in this report. In future studies, to facilitate integration into the larger body of intelligence materials, the committee proposes that technology selections be derived through a more disciplined, RED team2 review of top-level strategy documents (e.g., Joint Vision 2020)
From page 164...
... military has devoted significant time to the definition of vital capabilities in alignment with Joint Vision 2020, the committee made no effort in this first report to synchronize its derivations or defini tions, or to provide a complete decomposition of the operational con cepts and enablers into their underlying capabilities. Rather, committee
From page 165...
... military capabilities that derives from the operational concepts envisioned by Joint Vision 2020. The basic methodology developed by the committee is summarized in Box [C]
From page 166...
... This will be made possible through a real-time, web-based information system providing total asset visibility as part of a common relevant operational picture, effectively linking the operator and logistician across Services and support agencies. Precision Engagement is the ability of joint forces to locate, surveil, discern, and track objectives or targets; select, organize, and use the correct systems; generate desired effects; assess results; and reengage with decisive speed and overwhelming operational tempo as required, throughout the full range of military operations.
From page 167...
... Although targeted intelligence-collection methods remain important, in this report the committee focuses on observables that may be derived from open source analysis -- leveraging the effects of the information revolution and acknowledging that the twin forces of globalization and commercialization provide new sources of relevant information. At the same time, however, the committee recognizes the difficulty of discerning when technological advances portend emerging threats rather than societal benefits.
From page 168...
... -1 -- exemplifies how each technology is assessed. ASSESS The committee's assessment methodology involves characterization of a technology in terms of three variables: Accessibility, Maturity, and Consequence.
From page 169...
... Create a technology roadmap and forecast; identify potential observables to aid in the tracking of technological advances. • Technology Watch.
From page 170...
... The prioritization methodology lends itself to any number of com mercially available tools and techniques designed for assistance in estab lishing and maintaining a logical and consistent focus as well as the flexibility to react to the dynamics of technology change and ­country-of interest variability. During the prioritization process, it will be important to establish measures of performance to allow critical analysis as well as change management in order to improve the overall process.
From page 171...
... Furthermore, since the methodology emerged in parallel with the committee's technology assessments, the approaches taken were not entirely consistent. The foundation provided by Joint Vision 2020 and augmented by the military and professional backgrounds of committee members was used to select the following four key capabilities to assess: • Information superiority (Chapter 3)
From page 172...
... 2000. Joint Vision 2020.


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