Baxter, R. 2010. Are Juvenille Longfin Smelt Abandoning the Suisun Bay Neighborhood?…The Rest of the Story. Abstract. 6th Biennial Bay-Delta Science Conference. Ecosystem Sustainability: Focusing on Science and Managing California’s Water Future. September8, 2010.
Baxter, R. R. Breuer, L. Brown, M. Chotkowski, F. Feyrer, M. Gingras, B. Herbold, A. Mueller-Solger, M. Nobriga, T. Sommer, and K. Souza. 2008. Pelagic Organism Decline Project Report: 2007 Synthesis of Results. Sacramento, CA: Interagency Ecological Program for the San Francisco Estuary.
Baxter, R., R. Breuer, L. Brown, L. Conrad, F. Feyrer, S. Fong, K. Gehrts, L. Grimaldo, B. Herbold, P. Hrodey, A. Mueller-Solger, T. Sommer, and K. Souza. 2010. Interagency Ecological Program, 2010 Pelagic Organism Decline Work Plan and Synthesis of Results. Sacramento, CA: Interagency Ecological Program for the San Francisco Estuary. Available online at: http://www.water.ca.gov/iep/docs/FinalPOD2010Workplan12610.pdf. Last accessed March 10, 2011.
BDCP (Bay Delta Conservation Plan Steering Committee). 2010. Bay Delta Conservation Plan Working Draft. November 18. Available online at: http://www.resources.ca.gov/bdcp/.Last accessed April 26, 2011.
Bonfils, C., B.D. Santer, D.W. Pierce, H.G. Hidalgo, G. Bala, T. Das, T.P. Barnett, D.R. Cayan, C. Doutriaux, A.W. Wood, A. Mirin, and T. Nozaw. 2008. Detection and attribution of temperature changes in the mountainous western United States. Journal of Climate 21: 6404–6424.
Borsuk, M.E., R. Clemen, L. Maquire, and K.H. Reckhow. 2001. Stakeholder values and scientific modeling in the Neuse River watershed. Group Decision and Negotiation10: 355–373.
Borsuk, M.E., C.A. Stow, and K.H. Reckhow. 2004. A Bayesian network of eutrophication models for synthesis, prediction, and uncertainty analysis. Ecological Modelling173: 219–239.
Brekke, L.D., E.P. Maurer, J.D. Anderson, M.D. Dettinger, E.S. Townsley, A. Harrison, and T. Pruitt. 2009. Assessing reservoir operations risk under climate change. Water Resources Research 45:W04411.
Brekke, L.D., M.D Dettinger., E.P. Maurer, and M. Anderson. 2008. Significance of model credibility in estimating climate projection distributions for regional hydroclimatological risk assessments. Climate Change 89:371–394.
Brown, L.R. 2003. Will tidal wetland restoration enhance populations of native fishes?San Francisco and Watershed Science 1. Available online at: http://repositories.cdlib.org/jmie/sfews/vol1/iss1/art2. Last accessed April
13, 2011.
CALFED. 2000. California’s Water Future: Framework for Action. Sacramento, CA: CALFED Bay Delta Program.
CASCaDE. 2010. Computational Assessments of Scenarios of Change for the Delta Ecosystem. Available online at: http://cascade.wr.usgs.gov/index.shtm. Last accessed March 10,2011.
Cayan, D., M. Tyree, M. Dettinger, H. Hidalgo, T. Das, E. Maurer, P. Bromirski, N. Graham, and R. Flick. 2009. Climate change scenarios and sea level rise estimates for the California 2008 climate change scenarios assessment. CEC-500-2009-014-D. Sacramento, CA: California Climate Change Center.
Chung, F.I., J. Anderson, S. Aurora, M. Ejeta, J. Galef, T. Kadir, K. Kao, A. Olson, C. Quan, E. Reyes, M. Roos, S. Seneviratne, J. Wang and H. Yin. 2009. Using Future Climate Projections to Support water Resources Decision Making in California. California Energy Commission, PIER Program Report, CEC-500-2009-052-D. Sacramento, CA: California Energy Commission.
Climate Action Team. 2010. Climate Action Team Report to Governor Schwarzenegger and the California Legislature. California Environmental Protection Agency. April2010. Available online at: http://www.energy.ca.gov/2010publications/CAT-1000-2010-005/CAT-1000-2010-005.PDF.Last accessed March 10, 2011.
Cloern, J.E. 2007. Habitat Connectivity and ecosystem productivity: implications from a simple model. American Naturalist 169: E21–E33.
Cloern, J.E., K.A. Hieb, T. Jacobson, B. Sansó, E. Di Lorenzo, M.T. Stacey, J.L. Largier, W. Meiring, W.T. Peterson, T.M. Powell, M. Winder, and A.D. Jassby. 2010. Biological communities in San Francisco Bay track large scale climate forcing over the north Pacific. Geophysical Letters 37, L21602, doi.1029/2010GLO447744.
Conca, K. 2005. Growth and fragmentation in expert networks: The elusive quest for integrated water resources management. Pp. 432–470 in Handbook of Global Environmental Politics, P. Dauvergne, ed. Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar Publishers.
Delta Risk Management Strategy (DRMS). 2009. Executive Summary, Phase 1 Report. Available online at: http://www.water.ca.gov/floodmgmt/dsmo/sab/drmsp/docs/drms_execsum_ph1_final_low.pdf. Last accessed March 10, 2011.
Doremus, H. Forthcoming. Adaptive management as an information problem. North Carolina Law Review. UC Berkeley Public Law Research Paper No. 1744426. Available online at:http://ssrn.com/abstract=1744426. Last accessed on April 11, 2011.
DWR (California Department of Water Resources). 2010. Climate Change Characterization and Analysis in California Water Resources Planning Studies. Sacramento, CA: California Department of Water Resources.
Ellison, A.M. 1996. An introduction to Bayesian inference for ecological research and environmental decision-making. Ecological Applications 6:
1036–1046.
Emerson, K., and P. Murchie. 2010. Collaborative governance and climate change. Pp.141–161 in The Future of Public Administration, Public Management and Public Service Around the World: The Minnowbrook Perspective, R. O’Leary, S. Kim, D. Van Slyke, eds. Washington, D.C.: Georgetown University Press.
Feldman, D.L. 2011. Water: A Volume in the Geopolitics of Resources Series. Boston, MA: Polity Books.
Field, C. B., G. C. Daily, F. W. Davis, S. Gaines, P. A. Matson, J. Melack, and N. L. Miller. 1999. Confronting Climate Change in California: Ecological Impacts on the Golden State. Cambridge, MA: Union of Concerned Scientists and Washington, DC:Ecological Society of America.
Fiering, M. 1982. A screening model to quantify resilience. Water Resources Research18(1): 27–32.
Franco, G., D.R. Cayan, A. Luers, M. Hanemann, and B. Croes. 2008. Linking climate change science with policy in California. Climatic Change 87(Suppl 1):S7–S20.
FWS (Fish and Wildlife Service). 2008. Biological Opinion on Coordinated Operations of the Central Valley Project and State Water Project. Available online at: http:www.fws.gov/sacramento/ed/documents/SWP-CVP_OPs_BO_12-15_final_OCR.pdf Last accessed March 15, 2010.
Gershunov, A., T.P. Barnett, D. R. Cayan, T. Tubbs, and L. Goddard. 2000. Predicting and downscaling ENSO impacts on intraseasonal precipitation statistics in California: The 1997/98 Event. Journal of Hydrometeorology 1:201–210.
Glibert, P.M. 2010. Long-term changes in nutrient loading and stoichiometry and their relationships with changes in the food web and dominant pelagic fish species in the San Francisco Estuary, California. Reviews in Fisheries Science 18 (2):211–232.
Gilchrest W. 1993. Modeling failure modes and effects analysis. International Journal of Quality and Reliability Management 10(5):16–23.
Gregory, R., D. Ohlson, and J. Arvai. 2006. Deconstructing adaptive management: criteria for applications to environmental management. Ecological Applications 16(6):2411–2425.
Hashimoto, T. 1982. Reliability, resiliency, and vulnerability criteria for water resource system performance evaluation. Water Resources Research 18(1):14-20. Available online at: http://www.climatechange.ca.gov/climate_action_team/reports/index.html. Last Accessed on April 11, 2011.
Healey, M., M. Dettinger, and R. Norgaard. 2008. The State of Bay-Delta Science, 2008: Summary. Available online at: http://www.science.calwater.ca.gov/publications/sbds.html. Last accessed on April 11, 2011.
Holling, C.S. 1978. Adaptive Environmental Assessment and Management. Chichester, UK: John Wiley and Sons, Ltd.
Hundley, N., Jr. 2001. The Great Thirst. Californians and Water: A History. Revised Edition. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press.
Independent Science Advisors. 2009. Bay Delta Conservation Plan Independent Science Advisors’ Report on Management, prepared for the BDCP Steering Committee, February 2009. Available at: http://baydeltaconservationplan.com/Libraries/Background_Documents/BDCP_Adaptive_Management_ISA_report_Final.sflb.ash. Last accessed on April 11, 2011.
Interagency Ecological Program (IEP). 2010. Interagency Ecological Program 2010 Pelagic Organism Decline Work Plan 2. Available online at: http://www.water.ca.gov/iep/docs/FinalPOD2010Workplan12610.pdf. Last accessed April 25, 2011.
Jackson, W. T., and A. M. Patterson. 1977. The Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta: The Evolution and Implementation of Water Policy, An Historical Perspective. California Water Resources Center Contribution no. 163. Davis, CA: California Water Resources Center. Available online at: http://escholarship.org/uc/item/36q1p0vj#page-20. Last accessed April 25, 2011.
Jassby, A.D., J.E. Cloern, and B.E. Cole. 2002. Annual primary production: Patterns and mechanisms of change in a nutrient-rich tidal ecosystem. Limnology and Oceanography 2002. 47:712.
Karl, H.A., L.E. Susskind, and K.H. Wallace. 2007. A dialogue not a diatribe—effective integration of science and policy through joint fact finding. Environment 49(1):20–34.
Kelley, R. 1989. Battling the Inland Sea. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press.
Kettl, D. F., and S. Goldsmith, eds. 2009. Unlocking the Power of Networks: Keys to High Performance Governance. Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution Press.
Kiker, G. A., T. S. Bridges, and J. Kim. 2008. Integrating comparative risk assessment with multi-criteria decision analysis to manage contaminated sediments: an example for the New York/New Jersey harbor. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment 14(3):495–511.
Knowles, N. 2008. Potential Inundation Due to Rising Sea Levels in the San Francisco Bay Region. California Climate Change Center. CEC-500-2009-023-F, California Energy Commission, PIER Energy-Related Environmental Research. Available online at: http://www.energy.ca.gov/2009publications/CEC-500-2009-023/CEC-500-2009-023-D.PDF. Last accessed March 10, 2011.
Lee, K.N. 1999. Appraising adaptive management. Conservation Ecology 3(2):3. Available online at: http://www.consecol.org/vol3/iss2/art3. Last accessed on April 11, 2011.
Legault, C.M. 2005. Population viability analysis of Atlantic salmon in Maine, USA. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 134:549–562.
Linkov, I., F.K. Satterstrom, G. Kiker, C. Batchelor, T. Bridges, and E. Ferguson. 2006a. From comparative risk assessment to multi-criteria decision analysis and adaptive management: Recent developments and applications. Environment International 32:1072–1093.
Linkov, I., F. K. Satterstrom, G. Kiker, T.S. Bridges, S.L Benjamin, and D.A.
Belluck. 2006b. From optimization to adaptation: Shifting paradigms in environmental management and their application to remedial decisions. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management 2(1):92–98.
Lund, J., E. Hanak, W. Fleenor, W. Bennett, R. Howitt, J. Mount, and P. Moyle. 2010. Comparing Futures for the Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press.
Marcot, B.G., R.S. Holthausen, M.G. Raphael, M.M. Rowland, and M.J. Wisdom. 2001. Using Bayesian belief networks to evaluate fish and wildlife population viability under land management alternatives from an environmental impact statement. Forest Ecology and Management 153: 29–42.
Maurer, E. P., and H. G. Hidalgo. 2008. Utility of daily vs. monthly large-scale climate data: An intercomparison of two statistical downscaling methods. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 12:551–563.
McCann, R.K., B.G. Marcot, and R. Ellis. 2006. Bayesian belief networks: applications in ecology and natural resource management. Canadian Journal of Forest Research-Revue Canadienne De Recherche Forestiere 36: 3053–3062
McDermott, R.E., R.J. Mikulak, and M.R. Beauregard. 2009. The Basics of FMEA. New York, NY: CRC Press
Miller, T. J., J. A. Blair, T. F. Ihde. R. M. Jones, D. H. Secor and M. J. Wilberg. 2010. FishSmart: an innovative role for science in stakeholder-centered approaches to fisheries management. Fisheries 35(9):424–433
Milon, W,J, C.F. Kiker, and D.L. Lee. 1998. Adaptive ecosystem management and the Florida Everglades: more than trial-and-error? Water Resources Update 113:37–46.
Moyle, P.B., H.W Li, and B.A. Barton. 1986. The Frankenstein effect: impact of introduced fishes on native fishes in North America. Pp. 415–426 in Fish Culture in Fisheries Management, R.H. Stroud, ed. Bethesda, MD: American Fisheries Society.
Mueller-Solger, A. 2010. Drivers of change in the San Francisco Estuary. Presentation to the NRC Committee/Panel. December 8, 2010. San Francisco, CA.
Murphy, D.D., and P.S. Weiland. 2011. The route to best science implementation of the Endangered Species Act’s consultation mandate: The benefits of structured effects analysis. Environmental Management 47(2):161–172.
NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration). 2008. Federal Columbia River Power System Biological Opinion. Available online at: http://www.fws.gov/pacific/finalbiop/BiOp.pdf. Last accessed March 10, 2011.
NOAA. 2010. Endangered Species Act Section 7(a)(2) Consultation Supplemental Biological Opinion: Supplemental Consultation on Remand for Operation of the Federal Columbia River Power System, 11 Bureau of Reclamation Projects in the Columbia Basin and ESA Section 10(a)(I)(A) Permit for Juvenile Fish Transportation Program. Available online at: https://pcts.nmfs.noaa.gov/pls/pctspub/sxn7.pcts_upload.download?p_file=F25013/201002096_FCRPSSupplemental_2010_05-20.pdf.
Last accessed April 25, 2011.
NRC (National Research Council). 1995. Science and the Endangered Species Act. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press.
NRC. 2000. Ecological Indicators for the Nation. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press.
NRC. 2002. Ecological Dynamics on Yellowstone’s Northern Range. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press.
NRC. 2003. Adaptive Monitoring and Assessment for the Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan. Washington, D.C.: The National Academies Press.
NRC. 2004a. Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: causes of Decline and Strategies for Recovery. Washington, D.C.: The National Academies Press.
NRC. 2004b. Atlantic Salmon in Maine. Washington, D.C.: The National Academies Press.
NRC. 2005. Developing a Research and Restoration Plan for Arctic-Yukon Kuskokwim (Western Alaska) Salmon. Washington, D.C.: The National Academies Press.
NRC. 2006. Progress Toward Restoring the Everglades: The First Biennial Review. Washington, D.C.: The National Academies Press.
NRC. 2008. Progress Toward Restoring the Everglades: The Second Biennial Review. Washington, D.C.: The National Academies Press.
NRC. 2009. Science and Decisions. Washington, D.C.: The National Academies Press.
NRC. 2010a. Adapting to the Impacts of Climate Change. America’s Climate Choices: Panel on Adapting to the Impacts of Climate Change. Washington, D.C.: The National Academies. Press.
NRC. 2010b. A Scientific Assessment of Alternatives for Reducing Water Management Effects on Threatened and Endangered Fishes in California’s Bay-Delta. Washington, D.C.: The National Academies Press.
NRC. 2010c. Progress Toward Restoring the Everglades: The Third Biennial Review, 2010. Washington, D.C.: The National Academies Press.
National Research Defense Council. Map of the Bay Delta Watershed. Available online at: http://www.nrdc.org/greengate/water/diverted.html. Last accessed on April 11, 2011.
Orians, G., and D. Policansky. 2009. Scientific bases of macroenvironmental indicators. Annual Reviews of Environment and Resources 34:375–404.
Pine, W.E., S.J.D. Martell, C. J. Walters, J.E. Kitchell. 2009. Counterintuitive responses of fish populations to managements actions: some common causes and implications for predictions based on ecosystem modeling. Fisheries 34(4):165–180.
RECOVER. 2004. CERP Monitoring and Assessment Plan: Part 1, Monitoring and Supporting Research. Restoration Coordination and Verification, c/o U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Jacksonville District, Jacksonville, FL and
South Florida Water Management District, West Palm Beach, FL. Available online at: http://www.evergladesplan.org/pm/recover/recover_map.aspx. Last accessed March 10, 2011.
RECOVER. 2006a. Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan Adaptive Management Strategy. Restoration Coordination and Verification Program, c/o U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Jacksonville District, Jacksonville, FL and South Florida Water Management District, West Palm Beach, FL. April 2006. Available online at: http://www.evergladesplan.org/pm/recover/recover_docs/am/rec_am_stategy_brochure.pdf. Last accessed March 10, 2011.
RECOVER. 2006b. CERP Monitoring and Assessment Plan (MAP): Part 2, 2006 Assessment Strategy for the MAP. Restoration Coordination and Verification, c/o U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Jacksonville District, Jacksonville, FL and South Florida Water Management District, West Palm Beach, FL.
RECOVER. 2009. CERP Monitoring and Assessment Plan (MAP). Restoration Coordination and Verification, C/O U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Jacksonville District, Jacksonville, FL and South Florida Water Management District, West Palm Beach, FL. Available online at: http://www.evergladesplan.org/pm/recover/recover_map.aspx. Last accessed March 10, 2011.
RECOVER. 2010. CERP Adaptive Management Integration Guide (draft ), (2010). C/O U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Jacksonville District, Jacksonville, FL and South Florida Water Management District, West Palm Beach, FL. Available online at: http://www.evergladesplan.org/pm/pm_docs/adaptive_mgmt/090110_cerp_amig_v3_4.pdf. Last accessed March 10, 2011.
Redmond, K.T., and R.W. Koch. 1991. Surface climate and streamflow variability in the western United States and their relationship to large-scale circulation indices. Resources Research 27(9):2381–2399.
Richardson, Jr., J.J. 2010. Conservation easements and adaptive management. Sea Grant Law and Policy Journal, 3(1):31–58.
Rieman B., J.T. Peterson, J. Clayton, P. Howell, R. Thurow, W. Thompson, and D. Lee. 2001. Evaluation of potential effects of federal land management alternatives on trends of salmonids and their habitats in the interior Columbia River basin. Forest Ecology and Management 153:43–62.
Runge, M.C., E. Bean, D.R. Smith, and S. Kokos. 2011. Non-native fish control below Glen Canyon Dam—Report from a structured decision-making project: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2011–1012. Available online at: http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2011/1012/. Last accessed March 10, 2011.
Sagouspe, J. 2010. Letter to the Honarable David Hayes from Jean Sagouspe, President, Westlands Water District, to David Hayes, Deputy Secretary of the Interior, November 22nd, 2010. Available online at: http://www.westlandswater.org/wwd%5Cpr%5C2010-11-22_sagouspe_ltr_to_hayes.pdf. Last accessed on June 21, 2011.
Schemel, L.E., T.R. Sommer, A.B. Muller-Solger, and W.C. Harrell. 2004.
Hydrologic variability, water chemistry, and phytoplankton biomass in a large floodplain of the Sacramento River, CA. Hydrobiologia 513:129–139.
Scholz, J.T., and B. Stiftel. 2005. The challenges of adaptive governance. Pp. 1–11 in Adaptive Governance and Water Conflict: New Institutions for Collaborative Planning. Washington, D.C.: Resources for the Future.
Sommer, T., C. Armor, R. Baxter, R. Breuer, L. Brown, M. Chotkowski, S. Culberson, F. Feyrer, M. Gingras, B. Herbold, W. Kimmerer, A. Mueller-Solger, M. Nobriga, and K. Souza. 2007. The collapse of pelagic fishes in the upper San Francisco Estuary. Fisheries 32(6):270–277.
Suddeth, R., J.F. Mount, and J.R. Lund. 2010. Levee decisions and sustainability for the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science 8(2):1–23.
Susskind, L., A.E. Camacho, and T. Schenk. 2010. Collaborative planning and adaptive management in Glen Canyon: a cautionary tale. Columbia Journal of Environmental Law: 35:1–54.
Tanaka, S. K., C. R. Connell, K. Madani, J. Lund, E. Hanak, and J. MedellinAzuara 2008. The economic costs and adaptations for alternative Delta regulations. Chapter in Comparing Futures for the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta, J. Lund, E. Hanak, W. Fleenor, W. Bennett, R. Howitt, J. Mount, and P. Moyle, ed. San Francisco, CA: Public Policy Institute of California.
Thompson, J. 1957. Settlement geography of the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta, California. Ph.D. Dissertation. Available from: Stanford University.
USACE (U.S. Army Corps of Engineers) and SFWMD (South Florida Water Management District).1999. The Central and Southern Florida Flood Control Project Comprehensive Review Study Final Integrated Feasibility Report and Programmatic Impact Statement (PEIS). West Palm Beach, FL: South Florida Water Management District. Available online at: http://www.evergladesplan.org/pub/restudy_eis.cfm#mainreport. Last accessed March 10, 2011.
USBR (U.S. Bureau of Reclamation). 2008. Appendix R. Sensitivity of Future Central Valley Project and State Water Project Operations to Potential Climate Change and Associated Sea Level Rise, OCAP-BA, July, 2008. Available online at: http://www.usbr.gov/mp/cvo/OCAP/sep08_docs/Appendix_R.pdf. Last accessed March 10, 2011.
Uusitalo, L. 2007. Advantages and challenges of Bayesian networks in environmental modelling. Ecological Modelling 203:312–318.
Wagner, R.W., M. Stacey, L.R. Brown, and M. Dettinger. 2011. Statistical models of temperature in the Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta under climatechange scenarios and ecological implications. Estuaries and Coasts DOI 10.1007/s12237-010-9369-z. Available on line at: http://tenaya.ucsd.edu/~dettinge/wagner_delta_temps.pdf. Last accessed April 13, 2011.
Walters, C.J. 2007. Is adaptive management helping to solve fisheries problems? AMBIO: A Journal of the Human Environment 36(4):304–307.
Williams, B.K., R.C. Szaro, and C.D. Shapiro. 2009. Adaptive Management:
The U.S. Department of the Interior Technical Guide. Washington, D.C.: Department of the Interior, Adaptive Management Working Group.