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Suggested Citation:"References." National Research Council. 2011. Global Change and Extreme Hydrology: Testing Conventional Wisdom. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13211.
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References

Andreadis, K. M., and D. P. Lettenmaier. 2006. Trends in 20th century drought over the continental United States. Geophysical Research Letters 33:L10403.

CCSP (Climate Change Science Program). 2008. Weather and Climate Extremes in a Changing Climate. Regions of Focus: North America, Hawaii, Caribbean, and U.S. Pacific Islands. A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. Department of Commerce, NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center, Washington, D.C. 164 pp.

Groisman, P. Ya., R. W. Knight, T. R. Karl, D. R.Easterling, B. Sun, and J. H. Lawrimore. 2004. Contemporary changes of the hydrologic cycle over the contiguous United States: Trends derived from in situ observations. Journal of Hydrometeorology 5: 64–85.

Groisman, P. Ya., R. W. Knight, D. R. Easterling, T. R. Karl, G. C. Hegerl, and V.A.N. Razuvaev. 2005. Trends in intense precipitation in the climate record. Journal of Climate 18: 1326–1350.

Huntington, T. 2006. Evidence for intensification of the global water cycle: Review and synthesis. Journal of Hydrology 319: 83–95.

Huntington, T. 2010. Climate warming-induced intensification of the hydrologic cycle: An assessment of the published record and potential impacts on agriculture. Advances in Agronomy 109: 1–53.

IACWD (Interagency Advisory Committee on Water Data). 1982. Bulletin 17B of the Interagency Advisory Committee on Water Data: Guidelines for Determining Flood Flow Frequency. U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA.

Interagency Floodplain Management Review Committee. 1994. Sharing the Challenge: Floodplain Management into the 21st Century. U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C.

IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 2001. Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the IPCC. J. T. Houghton, Y. Ding, D. J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P. J. van der Linden, X. Dai, K. Maskell, and C. A. Johnson, (eds.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York. 881 pp.

Suggested Citation:"References." National Research Council. 2011. Global Change and Extreme Hydrology: Testing Conventional Wisdom. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13211.
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IPCC. 2007a. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC. S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K. B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H. L. Millers, (eds. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK. 996 pp.

IPCC. 2007b.Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC. M. L. Parry, O. F. Canziani, J. P. Palutikof, P. J. van der Linden, and C. E. Hanson, (eds.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK. 976 pp.

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Suggested Citation:"References." National Research Council. 2011. Global Change and Extreme Hydrology: Testing Conventional Wisdom. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13211.
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Trenberth, K. E. 1999. Conceptual framework for changes of extremes of the hydrological cycle with climate change. Climatic Change 42:327–339.

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Suggested Citation:"References." National Research Council. 2011. Global Change and Extreme Hydrology: Testing Conventional Wisdom. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13211.
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Suggested Citation:"References." National Research Council. 2011. Global Change and Extreme Hydrology: Testing Conventional Wisdom. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13211.
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Suggested Citation:"References." National Research Council. 2011. Global Change and Extreme Hydrology: Testing Conventional Wisdom. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13211.
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Suggested Citation:"References." National Research Council. 2011. Global Change and Extreme Hydrology: Testing Conventional Wisdom. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13211.
×
Page 17
Suggested Citation:"References." National Research Council. 2011. Global Change and Extreme Hydrology: Testing Conventional Wisdom. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13211.
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Page 18
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Global Change and Extreme Hydrology: Testing Conventional Wisdom Get This Book
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Climate theory dictates that core elements of the climate system, including precipitation, evapotranspiration, and reservoirs of atmospheric and soil moisture, should change as the climate warms, both in their means and extremes. A major challenge that faces the climate and hydrologic science communities is understanding the nature of these ongoing changes in climate and hydrology and the apparent anomalies that exist in reconciling their extreme manifestations.

The National Research Council (NRC) Committee on Hydrologic Science (COHS) held a workshop on January 5-6, 2010, that examined how climate warming translates into hydrologic extremes like floods and droughts. The workshop brought together three groups of experts. The first two groups consisted of atmospheric scientists and hydrologists focused on the scientific underpinnings and empirical evidence linking climate variability to hydrologic extremes. The third group consisted of water managers and decision-makers charged with the design and operation of water systems that in the future must be made resilient in light of a changing climate and an environment of hydrologic extremes.

Global Change and Extreme Hydrology summarizes the proceedings of this workshop. This report presents an overview of the current state of the science in terms of climate change and extreme hydrologic events. It examines the "conventional wisdom" that climate change will "accelerate" the hydrologic cycle, fuel more evaporation, and generate more precipitation, based on an increased capacity of a warmer atmosphere to hold more water vapor. The report also includes descriptions of the changes in frequency and severity of extremes, the ability (or inability) to model these changes, and the problem of communicating the best science to water resources practitioners in useful forums.

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