National Research Council Committee on Population
Workshop on Recent Trends in Fertility in Sub-Saharan Africa
June 15-16, 2015
National Academy of Sciences Building
2101 Constitution Avenue, NW, Room 120
Washington, DC
Day 1, June 15
Time | Topic | Participants |
Breakfast available at 8:30 | ||
9:00–9:30 | Welcome, introductions, and workshop overview | Peter Donaldson and Tom Plewes |
Session 1: 9:30–10:45 Trends in Fertility in sub-Saharan Africa | Jacob Adetunji, Chair and Discussant | |
9:30–10:00 | Africa’s unique fertility transition | John Bongaarts |
10:00–10:30 | Fertility decline patterns and scenarios of future fertility change in sub-Saharan Africa | Ann Biddlecom, Patrick Gerland, and Vladimira Kantorova |
10:30–10:45 | Discussion | Jacob Adetunji |
Session 2: 10:45 a.m.–1:00 p.m. | Jean-François Kobiané, Chair and Discussant | |
The Consequences of African Fertility Trends | ||
10:45–11:15 | Problems posed by a slow fertility decline and continued population growth in sub-Saharan Africa | John Cleland and Kazuyo Machiyama |
11:15–11:40 | Morning break | |
11:40–12:10 | Opportunities arising from demographic changes in sub-Saharan Africa | David Lam and Murray Leibbrandt |
12:10–12:40 | A simulation model of the effect of family reduction on economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa | David Canning, Mahesh Karra, and Joshua Wild |
12:40–1:00 | Discussion | Jean-François Kobiané |
Lunch: 1:00–2:00 | ||
Session 3: 2:00–5:30 Trends in Reproductive Behavior in Africa | Cheikh Mbacké, Chair and Discussant | |
2:00–2:30 | Fertility desires and the course of fertility decline in sub-Saharan Africa | John Casterline and Samuel Agyei-Mensah |
2:30–3:00 | Childbearing patterns: the importance of birth spacing and postponement | Ian Timaeus and Tom Moultrie |
3:00–3:30 | Trends in age at marriage and fertility | Véronique Hertrich |
3:30–3:50 | Afternoon break | |
3:50–4:20 | Socioeconomic trends and their impact on fertility | Parfait Eloundou-Enyegue |
4:20–4:40 | Fertility transitions in Kenya and Ghana: trends, determinants and implications for policy and programs | Ian Askew, Maggwa Baker Ndugga, and Francis Onyango |
4:40–5:00 | Discussion | Cheikh Mbacké |
5:00–5:30 | Day one wrap-up and implications | Peter Donaldson and Tom Plewes |
5:30–6:30 | Reception West Court National Academy of Sciences | |
6:30 | Dinner for Invited Participants and Guests Members Room National Academy of Sciences | Robert Hauser, Host |
Day 2, June 16
Session 4: 9:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. | Ndola Prata, Chair and Discussant | |
The Effects of Contraceptive Practice | ||
Breakfast available at 8:30 | ||
9:00–9:30 | The impact of contraceptive use and abortion on fertility in Africa: Estimates for 2003-2014 | Susheela Singh, Akin Bankole, and Jacqueline E. Darroch |
9:30–10:00 | The role of traditional methods in family planning in Africa | Clémentine Rossier and Jamaica Corker |
10:00–10:30 | Contraceptive preferences and practices | Amy Tsui, Win Brown, and Qingfeng Li |
10:30–10:55 | Morning break |
10:55–11:30 | Urbanization, slum populations, unmet need, and family planning among the urban poor | Donatien Beguy, Blessing Mberu, and Alex Ezeh |
11:30–12:00 | Discussion | Ndola Prata |
Lunch: 12:00–1:00 | ||
Session 5: 1:00–4:30 Policy Options and Opportunities | Jotham Musinguzi, Chair and Discussant | |
1:00–1:30 | Politics of population and family planning policies and programs | John May |
1:30–2:00 | Panel: Donor perspectives on stalled fertility and its implications in sub-Saharan Africa | Win Brown, Sahlu Haile, Jane Edmondson (invited), Tim Evans, and Ellen Starbird |
2:00–3:15 | Afternoon break | |
3:15–4:05 | Panel: Scientific perspectives on stalled fertility and its implications in sub-Saharan Africa | Julie DaVanzo, Alex Ezeh, James Phillips, and Eliya Zulu |
4:05–4:30 | Workshop wrap-up: Dissemination and publication plans | Peter Donaldson and Tom Plewes |