National Academies Press: OpenBook

Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism (2023)

Chapter: Appendix D: Agendas of Committee Meetings

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Suggested Citation:"Appendix D: Agendas of Committee Meetings." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/26609.
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D

Agendas of Committee Meetings

FEBRUARY 26, 2021

2:00 PM

Sponsor and Stakeholder Briefings

Grant Schneider, Professional Staff Member, U.S. House Committee on Armed Services

Leonor Tomero, Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Nuclear and Missile Defense Policy Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy

Rear Admiral Michael Brookes, J2 Intel U.S. Strategic Command

Brigadier General John Weidner, J5 Plans U.S. Strategic Command

3:45

Adjourn Open Session

APRIL 21, 2021

1:15 PM

Nuclear War Risk and Possible Scenarios

Martin Hellman, Professor Emeritus, Stanford University

1:45

Nuclear War Risk Analysis Methods and Use

John L. Carozza, Risk of Strategic Deterrence Failure Division Chief, U.S. Strategic Command

Suggested Citation:"Appendix D: Agendas of Committee Meetings." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/26609.
×

Claudio Cioffi-Revilla, University Professor Emeritus, George Mason University

2:45

Adjourn Open Session

APRIL 23, 2021

1:30 PM

Nuclear Terrorism Risk Analysis Methods and Use

Steven Streetman, Independent Consultant

Susan Caskey, Global Security Research and Analysis Program, Sandia National Laboratories

2:30

Break

2:40

The Role of Quantitative and Qualitative Methods

George Apostolakis, Professor Emeritus, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

3:10

Public Comment

3:30

Adjourn Open Session and Break

MAY 27, 2021

2:15 PM

Jason Reinhardt, National Security Systems Analyst, Sandia National Laboratories

3:00

Henry Willis, Director, Strategy, Policy and Operations Program; Acting Director, Personnel and Resources Program, Homeland Security Operational Analysis Center, RAND Corporation

4:00

Adjourn Open Session

JUNE 18, 2021

12:00 PM

Ambassador Ronald Lehman, Counselor to the Director, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

12:30

Ambassador Laura Holgate, Senior Fellow, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard University

Suggested Citation:"Appendix D: Agendas of Committee Meetings." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/26609.
×
1:15

Break

1:30

Heather Looney, Senior Advisor, Office of Defense Nuclear Nonproliferation, National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA)

3:00

Adjourn Open Session

JULY 13, 2021: DATA-GATHERING SESSION (NOT OPEN TO THE PUBLIC)

2:30 PM

Nuclear Nonproliferation Risk Analysis—NNSA

Heather Looney, Office of Defense Nuclear Nonproliferation

Jeffrey Chamberlin, Office of Material Management and Minimization

Zac Palmer, Office of Global Material Security

Wayne Mei, Office of Nonproliferation and Arms Control

4:00

Adjourn Data-Gathering Session

Suggested Citation:"Appendix D: Agendas of Committee Meetings." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/26609.
×
Page 144
Suggested Citation:"Appendix D: Agendas of Committee Meetings." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/26609.
×
Page 145
Suggested Citation:"Appendix D: Agendas of Committee Meetings." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/26609.
×
Page 146
Next: Appendix E: Committee Member Biographies »
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The assessment of risk is complex and often controversial. It is derived from the existence of a hazard, and it is characterized by the uncertainty of possible undesirable events and their outcomes. Few outcomes are as undesirable as nuclear war and nuclear terrorism. Over the decades, much has been written about particular situations, policies, and weapons that might affect the risks of nuclear war and nuclear terrorism. The nature of the concerns and the risk analysis methods used to evaluate them have evolved considerably over time.

At the request of the Department of Defense, Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism discusses risks, explores the risk assessment literature, highlights the strengths and weaknesses of risk assessment approaches, and discusses some publicly available assumptions that underpin U.S. security strategies, all in the context of nuclear war and nuclear terrorism.

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