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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C: List of Phase II Briefers." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism: Phase II (Abbreviated Report of the CUI Version). Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27393.
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C
List of Phase II Briefers

MEETING 1: AUGUST 24 AND 25, 2022 (PENTAGON AND KECK, WASHINGTON, DC)

National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, Committee on International Security and Arms Control (CISAC)

Micah Lowenthal, Senior Director of CISAC

Department of Defense, Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD/OUSD)

Michael Hodgkin (OSD)

Matt Kurtz (OUSD Policy)

Joint Staff, Strategic Stability (J5)

Dr. Austin G. Long, Acting Director, J5 and Strategic Stability

Joint Staff Nuclear Terrorism Assessments (J3 and J5)

COL Jeremiah Aeschleman, Ms. Heather Burgess, Ms. Sarah Pisarcik, Mr. Scott Dunn

U.S. Special Operations Command (SOCOM)

Ricky Boyer, Joint Special Operations University and J10

National Security Council

Pranay Vaddi, Senior Director, and others

Missile Defense Agency

Mr. Dennis Mays, MDA Director for Engineering

Defense Threat Reduction Agency (DTRA), Strategic Integration

Mr. Donald Wenzlick, Chief, Strategic Trends Division

Greg Weaver, Strategy to Plans, LLC

MEETING 2: OCTOBER 24 AND 25, 2022 (VISIT TO U.S. STRATEGIC COMMAND [USSTRATCOM], OMAHA, NEBRASKA)

USSTRATCOM

BG John Weidner, J5P (host to the committee)

Session 1: Escalation Dynamics/Decision Calculus

Mr. Rich McManus, J5STO

Ms. Jennifer Bradley, J57

Suggested Citation:"Appendix C: List of Phase II Briefers." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism: Phase II (Abbreviated Report of the CUI Version). Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27393.
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Session 2: USSTRATCOM Risk Assessment Methodologies

Mr. Pete Huggins, J5P

Session 3: Uses of and Alternative Approaches to Strategic Risk Assessment

Roundtable: Facilitator BG Weidner

Session 4: Panel Discussion on Risk Methods and Uses

BG John Weidner, J5P

Maj Gen John Nichols, J3

Mr. Bob Taylor, J8

Brig Gen Ricky Mills, J2

Mr. Chad Stevenson, NEC

Mr. JB Miller, J7

Session 5: USSTRATCOM War Gaming Design, Execution, and Assessment

Dr. Terry Buckman, J712

Mr. Joe Williams, J571

Session 6: Discussion on Potential Solutions to Address Strategic Deterrence Gaps

Mr. Steve Pettit, DJ5

Mr. Pat McKenna, J5/STA

Mr. Bob Taylor, J8

Mr. Chad Stevenson, NEC

MEETING 3: NOVEMBER 7, 2022 (UNCLASSIFIED VIA ZOOM)

Brad Roberts, LLNL

MEETING 4: DECEMBER 12 -14, 2022 (FORRESTAL AND KECK, WASHINGTON DC)

Gen (Retired) James Mattis

DOE-IN: Rebecca Lucast, Branch Chief, Security Branch, NMIP; Amanda Weaver, Deputy Director, NMIP; Sarah Bender; Dan Migrone, Branch Chief, Nuclear Terrorism and Security Branch, Foreign Nuclear Programs (FNP) Division; Donald Puglisi, Director, FNP; Drew Nichols, Director, NMIP

NNSA: Jay Tilden, NNSA Associate Administrator and Deputy Under Secretary for Counterterrorism and Counterproliferation (NA-80); Dallas Boyd, executive director and chief of staff for NNSA, NA-80

NIC: NIO for Counterterrorism, John Murphy

Amb. Rose Gottemoeller, Stanford University (previously with NATO and Department of State)

Major General (Retired) Julie Bentz

Department of State: Aaron Miles, Senior Advisor, Office of Strategic Stability and Deterrence Affairs, Arms Control, Verification, and Compliance (AVC); Constantinos (Costa) Nicolaidis, Acting Director, Office of WMD Terrorism, Bureau of International Security and Nonproliferation (ISN); Nicole Rothenberg, Program Advisor, Cooperative Threat Reduction program, ISN

Suggested Citation:"Appendix C: List of Phase II Briefers." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism: Phase II (Abbreviated Report of the CUI Version). Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27393.
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Caryn Leslie, Director of ICSB, National Academies

National Intelligence Council (NIC): James Murphy, National Intelligence Officer for WMD

MEETING 5: JANUARY 26 AND 27, 2023 (KECK, WASHINGTON, DC)

Jennifer Pavlick, Risk Lead, Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction (CWMD) Directorate, DHS

Jeff Cooper, PANTHR Program Manager, Science and Technology Directorate, DHS

Thomas Breske, Senior Advisor, WMD-CT Division, National Counterterrorism Center (NCTC), ODNI

Drew Ryan, Issues Manager, WMD-CT Division, NCTC and National Counter-proliferation and Biosecurity Center (NCBC), ODNI

Mark L. Sward, Chief, Nuclear Effects Division, Nuclear Technologies Department, Research and Development Directorate, DTRA

Caleb Fullerton, Intelligence Analysis, Federal Bureau of Investigation

MEETING 6: MARCH 23 AND 24, 2023 (KECK, WASHINGTON, DC)

Thomas W. Geyer, Director, Strategic Initiatives, White House Military Office, DoD

Richard C. Johnson, Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense (DASD) for Nuclear and Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction (N-CWMD), Office of the Secretary of Defense, DoD

Suggested Citation:"Appendix C: List of Phase II Briefers." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism: Phase II (Abbreviated Report of the CUI Version). Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27393.
×
Page 32
Suggested Citation:"Appendix C: List of Phase II Briefers." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism: Phase II (Abbreviated Report of the CUI Version). Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27393.
×
Page 33
Suggested Citation:"Appendix C: List of Phase II Briefers." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism: Phase II (Abbreviated Report of the CUI Version). Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27393.
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Page 34
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The Committee on Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism was established and managed by the National Academies of Sciences, Medicine, and Engineering in response to a congressional mandate to independently explore U.S. government methods for assessing nuclear war and nuclear terrorism risks and how those assessments are used to develop strategy and policy. This publication is the public, abbreviated version of the classified report.

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