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Suggested Citation:"References." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism: Phase II (Abbreviated Report of the CUI Version). Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27393.
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References

Biden, J.R. 2022. “National Security Strategy.” October. https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/Biden-Harris-Administrations-National-Security-Strategy-10.2022.pdf.

Bush, G.W. 2002. “The National Security Strategy of the United States of America.” September. Washington, DC. https://history.defense.gov/Portals/70/Documents/nss/nss2002.pdf?ver=oyVN99aEnrAWijAc_O5eiQ%3d%3d.

Clinton, W.J. 1994. “A National Security Strategy of Engagement and Enlargement.” Washington, DC. https://history.defense.gov/Portals/70/Documents/nss/nss1994.pdf.

DHS (Department of Homeland Security). 2021. “Unclassified Remarks for Phase 1.” (DHS, Phase I, 2021).

DIA (Defense Intelligence Agency). 2009. “A Tradecraft Primer: Structured Analytic Techniques for Improving Intelligence Analysis,” 2nd edition. Directorate for Analysis Research. March. https://www.dia.mil/FOIA/FOIA-Electronic-Reading-Room/FileId/161442.

DoD (Department of Defense). 2022. “National Defense Strategy.” https://media.defense.gov/2022/Oct/27/2003103845/-1/-1/1/2022-NATIONAL-DEFENSE-STRATEGY-NPR-MDR.PDF.

Grabo, C.M. 2002. Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning. J. Goldman (ed.). Center for Strategic Intelligence Research. Bethesda, MD: Joint Military Intelligence College.

Granholm, J.M. 2023. “Russia’s Ongoing Assault on Nuclear Safety and Security Endangers the World.” The Hill. March 14. https://thehill.com/opinion/congress-blog/3900184-russias-ongoing-assault-on-nuclear-safety-and-security-endangers-the-world.

IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency). 2022. “Verification and Monitoring in the Islamic Republic of Iran in Light of United Nations Security Council Resolution 2231 (2015).” September 7. GOV/2022/39. gov2022-39.pdf (iaea.org).

IOM (Institute of Medicine). 2013. Environmental Decisions in the Face of Uncertainty. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/12568.

IPCC (International Panel on Climate Change). 2022. “Summary for Policymakers.” H.-O. Pörtner, D.C. Roberts, E.S. Poloczanska, K. Mintenbeck, M. Tignor, A. Alegría, M. Craig, S. Langsdorf, S. Löschke, V. Möller, A. Okem (eds.). In Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009325844.001.

NASEM (National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine). 2023. Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/26609. (Phase I report).

NDSC (National Defense Strategy Commission). 2018. Providing for the Common Defense: The Assessment and Recommendations of the National Defense Strategy Commission. United Institute of Peace. Washington, DC. https://www.usip.org/sites/default/files/2018-11/providing-for-the-common-defense.pdf.

Roberts, B. 2020. On Theories of Victory, Red and Blue, Livermore Papers on Global Security No. 7. Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. Center for Global Security Research.

Suggested Citation:"References." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism: Phase II (Abbreviated Report of the CUI Version). Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27393.
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Roberts, B. 2022. Briefing by Brad Roberts, director, Center for Global Security Research, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. Meeting 3, November.

Roberts, P. 2017. “Designing Conceptual Failure in Warfare.” RUSI Journal 162(1):14–23.

USSTRATCOM (U.S. Strategic Command). 2021. Nuclear Planning Guidance. Presentation slides at the May 27, 2021, committee meeting.

White House. 2022. “Joint Statement of the Leaders of the Five Nuclear-Weapon States on Preventing Nuclear War and Avoiding Arms Races.” January 3. https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/01/03/p5-statement-on-preventing-nuclear-war-and-avoiding-arms-races.

Wohlstetter, R. 1962. Pearl Harbor: Warning and Decision. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press.

Suggested Citation:"References." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism: Phase II (Abbreviated Report of the CUI Version). Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27393.
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Page 19
Suggested Citation:"References." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism: Phase II (Abbreviated Report of the CUI Version). Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27393.
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Page 20
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The Committee on Risk Analysis Methods for Nuclear War and Nuclear Terrorism was established and managed by the National Academies of Sciences, Medicine, and Engineering in response to a congressional mandate to independently explore U.S. government methods for assessing nuclear war and nuclear terrorism risks and how those assessments are used to develop strategy and policy. This publication is the public, abbreviated version of the classified report.

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