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Copyright 1998 by the National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
Committee On National Statistics 1997-1998
NORMAN M. BRADBURN (Chair),
National Opinion Research Center, University of Chicago
JULIE DAVANZO, RAND,
Santa Monica, California
WILLIAM F. EDDY,
Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University
JOHN F. GEWEKE,
Department of Economics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis
ERIC A. HANUSHEK, W.
Allen Wallis Institute of Political Economy and Department of Economics, University of Rochester
RODERICK J. A. LITTLE,
School of Public Health, University of Michigan
THOMAS A. LOUIS,
Division of Biostatistics, University of Minnesota
CHARLES F. MANSKI,
Department of Economics, Northwestern University
WILLIAM D. NORDHAUS,
Department of Economics, Yale University
JANET L. NORWOOD,
The Urban Institute, Washington, D.C.
EDWARD B. PERRIN,
Department of Health Services, University of Washington
PAUL R. ROSENBAUM,
Department of Statistics, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania
KEITH F. RUST,
Westat, Inc., Rockville, Maryland
FRANCISCO J. SAMANIEGO,
Division of Statistics, University of California, Davis
MIRON L. STRAF, Director
ANDREW A. WHITE, Deputy Director
Board On Children, Youth, And Families 1997-1998
JACK P. SHONKOFF (Chair),
Brandeis University
DAVID V. B. BRITT,
Children's Television Workshop, New York, New York
LARRY BUMPASS,
Center for Demography and Ecology, University of Wisconsin
FERNANDO A. GUERRA,
San Antonio Metropolitan Health District, San Antonio, Texas
BERNARD GUYER,
Department of Maternal and Child Health, Johns Hopkins University School of Hygiene
ALETHA C. HUSTON,
Department of Human Ecology, University of Texas at Austin
RENÉE R. JENKINS,
Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Howard University
SARA McLANAHAN,
Office of Population Research, Princeton University
ROBERT MICHAEL,
Harris Graduate School of Public Policy Studies, University of Chicago
PAUL NEWACHECK,
Institute of Health Policy Studies and Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Francisco
MARTHA PHILLIPS,
The Concord Coalition, Washington, D.C.
JULIUS B. RICHMOND,
Department of Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School
TIMOTHY M. SANDOS,
TCI Education Division, Denver, Colorado
DEBORAH STIPEK,
Graduate School of Education, University of California, Los Angeles
DIANA TAYLOR,
Women's Health Program, Department of Family Health Care Nursing, University of California, San Francisco
GAIL WILENSKY,
Project Hope, Bethesda, Maryland
EVAN CHARNEY (Liaison),
Institute of Medicine
RUTH GROSS (Liaison),
Board on Health Promotion and Disease Prevention, Institute of Medicine
ELEANOR MACCOBY (Liaison),
Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, National Research Council
DEBORAH PHILLIPS, Director
Workshop Participants
ROBERT M. HAUSER (Workshop Chair),
Institute for Research on Poverty, University of Wisconsin, Madison
CHRISTINE BACHRACH,
Center for Population Research, National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, National Institutes of Health
PAULA BAKER,
Center for Human Resource Research, Ohio State University
RICHARD BAVIER,
Office of Management and Budget
BENNETT BERTENTHAL,
National Science Foundation
STEPHEN BUKA,
Harvard University
LARRY BUMPASS,
University of Wisconsin, Madison
LESLIE CHRISTOVICH,
Food and Nutrition Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture
ROBERT DALRYMPLE,
Office of Analysis and Evaluation, Food and Nutrition Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture
JOHN ENDAHL,
Food and Nutrition Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture
JEFF EVANS,
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, National Institutes of Health
AMY FINKELSTEIN,
Council of Economic Advisers
SARAH FRIEDMAN,
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, National Institutes of Health
JOHN GOERING,
Office of Research, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development
JEANNE GRIFFITH,
Division of Science Resources Studies, National Science Foundation
MARIA HANRATTY,
Council of Economic Advisers
SUSAN HAUAN,
U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
DON HERNANDEZ,
Board on Children, Youth, and Families, National Research Council
SANDRA HOFFERTH,
Institute of Social Research, University of Michigan
DAVID HUIZINGA,
Institute of Behavioral Science, University of Colorado
GUILLERMINA JASSO,
New York University
NANCY KIRKENDALL,
U.S. Office of Management and Budget
ROBERT KOMINSKI,
Population Division, U.S. Bureau of the Census
PAMELA LATTIMORE,
National Institute of Justice, U.S. Department of Justice
MARY CLARE LENNON,
National Center for Children in Poverty
ROSE LI,
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, National Institutes of Health
MICHAEL LOPEZ,
Administration on Children, Youth, and Families
JOHN LOVE,
Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.
JENNIFER MADANS,
Vital and Health Statistics Systems, National Center for Health Statistics
GILLES MONTIGNY,
Statistics Canada
KRISTIN MOORE,
Child Trends, Inc.
RANDALL OLSEN,
Center for Human Resource Research, Ohio State University
JEFFREY OWINGS,
School and Family Longitudinal Studies Program, National Center for Education Statistics
HELEN RAIKES,
Administration on Children, Youth, and Families
SARAH REBER,
Council of Economic Advisers
KERRY RICHTER,
Child Trends, Inc.
PATRICIA RUGGLES,
Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
MARK SHRODER,
U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development
HOWARD SILVER,
Consortium of Social Science Associations
LOUISA TARULLO,
Administration on Children, Youth, and Families
KATHERINE TOUT,
Child Trends, Inc.
JAMES TRUDEAU,
National Institute of Justice, U.S. Department of Justice
J. RICHARD UDRY,
Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina
JOHN VEUM,
Bureau of Labor Statistics
CHRISTY VISHER,
National Institute of Justice, U.S. Department of Justice
DANIEL WEINBERG,
U.S. Bureau of the Census
JERRY WEST,
National Center for Educational Statistics, U.S. Department of Education
MARVIN WOLFGANG,
University of Pennsylvania
MARTY ZASLOW,
Child Trends, Inc.
National Research Council Staff
NANCY GEYELIN, Project Assistant,
Board on Children, Youth, and Families
JEFFREY KOSHEL, Study Director,
Committee on National Statistics
ANU PEMMARAZU, Research Assistant,
Committee on National Statistics
DEBORAH PHILLIPS, Director,
Board on Children, Youth, and Families
TERRI SCANLAN, Program Specialist,
Committee on National Statistics
MIRON STRAF, Director,
Committee on National Statistics
BARBARA BOYLE TORREY, Executive Director,
Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education
KIRSTEN WEST, Research Associate,
Committee on National Statistics
ANDREW WHITE, Deputy Director,
Committee on National Statistics
Acknowledgments
The Committee on National Statistics and the Board on Children, Youth, and Families would like to thank all who participated in the workshop on longitudinal research on children, sharing their expertise, experiences, and concerns through stimulating discussions and for their thoughts and comments that lent to the shaping of this report. We especially thank Robert Hauser of the University of Wisconsin for serving as chair.
We also gratefully acknowledge the contributions of those who worked to organize the workshop and prepare this report. Miron Straf, Deborah Phillips, and Andrew White led and oversaw the undertaking of the workshop, from its development to the preparation of this report. Kirsten West took the major responsibility for organizing the workshop, preparing an initial draft of the workshop summary and responding to reviewers' comments. Terri Scanlan assisted in organizing the workshop and preparing the report for publication. We are grateful to Anne Bridgman, who made valuable revisions on initial drafts; Barbara Bodling, who provided the editing; and to Eugenia Grohman, who oversaw the review process.
With sadness, we acknowledge the untimely death of our friend and colleague, Marvin E. Wolfgang. He was a distinguished criminologist and scholar of longitudinal surveys of delinquency. We are privileged to have had him join us for this workshop.
This report has been reviewed by individuals chosen for their diverse perspectives and technical expertise, in accordance with procedures approved by the NRC's Report Review Committee. The purpose of this independent review is to provide candid and critical comments that will assist the authors and the NRC in
making the published report as sound as possible and to ensure that the report meets institutional standards for objectivity, evidence, and responsiveness to the study charge. The content of the review comments and draft manuscript remain confidential to protect the integrity of the deliberative process.
We wish to thank the following individuals for their participation in the review of this report: Larry Bumpass, Center for Demography and Ecology, University of Wisconsin; Julie DaVanzo, RAND, Santa Monica, California; Greg Duncan, Center for Urban Affairs, Northwestern University; Sara McLanahan, Office of Population Research, Princeton University; William O'Hare, Anne E. Casey Foundation, Baltimore, Maryland; Paul R. Rosenbaum, Department of Statistics, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania; and Jay Teachman, Department of Human Development, Washington State University. Although the individuals listed above have provided many constructive comments and suggestions, responsibility for the final content of this report rests solely with the authoring committees and the NRC.
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List of Surveys Represented
British National Child Development Study (NCDS) Representative: Paula Baker
Canadian National Longitudinal Survey of Children and Youth (NLSCY) Representative: Gilles Montigny
Children and Young Adults of the National Longitudinal Surveys of Youth Representative: Randall Olsen
Delinquency in a Birth Cohort in the People's Republic of China Representative: Marvin Wolfgang
Early Childhood Longitudinal Study, Birth and Kindergarten Cohorts (ECLS) Representative: Jerry West
Early Head Start Research and Evaluation Project Representative: John M. Love
National Education Longitudinal Study (NELS:1988) Representative: Jeffrey Owings
National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health (Add Health) Representative: J. Richard Udry
National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, 1979 (NLSY79) Representative: Randall Olsen
National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, 1997 (NLSY97) Representative: John Veum
New Immigrant Survey Pilot Study Representative: Guillermina Jasso
National Institute for Child Health and Human Development Study of Early Child Care Representative: Sarah Friedman
Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) Representative: Sandra Hofferth
Program of Research on the Causes and Correlates of Delinquency: Denver Youth Survey, Pittsburgh Youth Study, Rochester Youth Development Survey Representative: David Huizinga
Project on Human Development in Chicago Neighborhoods Representative: Stephen Buka
Survey of Program Dynamics for Assessing Welfare Reform (SPD) Representative: Don Hernandez
Wisconsin Longitudinal Study (WLS) Representative: Robert M. Hauser
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