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A Review of the Florida Keys Carrying Capacity Study (2002) / Chapter Skim
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3 Scenario Generator
Pages 14-19

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From page 14...
... This flexibility is a major strength of the Draft CCAM that will make it useful for numerous planning applications. While the output scale to other modules is principally at the planning unit scale, parcel-level data are evidently output to the Water Module in order to permit aggregation to the catchment level for stormwater and wastewater loadings calculations.
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From page 15...
... Supermarkets, drug stores, and gas stations exist, but appear to be as much oriented to transients as to residents, and they pale in contrast to the large chain shopping centers and department stores at the entrance to the Florida Keys in southern Miami-Dade. Except for local government operations, office space appears to be concentrated in small freestanding buildings, unlike office complexes in some other communities of comparable size.
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From page 16...
... (3) Government Presence in Recreational Attractions and Economy Except for a statement in the Smart Growth scenario that "two additional parks of 5-10 acres each will be developed in the lower Keys," no information is provided on the significant public presence that generates visits to segments of the Florida Keys and presumably generates jobs for the economic base.
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From page 17...
... The Draft CCAM strays far from a document prepared by the URS Corporation in July, 2001 entitled Florida Keys Carrying Capacity Study Scenario Development Guidelines, produced as a follow-up to a workshop with local planners (URS Corporation, Inc., 2001b)
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From page 18...
... The definition of thresholds requires value judgments about acceptable levels of the indicator variables, and as currently designed, those value judgments appear to have been made by the consultants.4 In some cases, near-shore ambient water quality for example, thresholds are based on state or federal regulatory standards (Draft CCAM Appendix C, Equation 193~. Users may wish to set thresholds differently, even where state or federal standards pertain (e.g., where there may be evidence that certain species or biological communities are negatively affected by conditions less severe than those currently permitted [United 4section 3.8 of the Draft CCAM reports that feedback from public meetings was used ``to help determine the components of each module, and the end points and criteria used for determining carrying capacity thresholds for quality of life issues.
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From page 19...
... The committee recommends that the narrative be revised to more fully document the options available to the user to define redevelopment scenario parameters. In addition, the contractors should explain how development suitability is used in the allocation of new development (Draft CCAM Section 3.1.2)
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Key Terms

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  • carrying capacity
  • ccam section
  • scenario generator
  • smart growth

  • future growth
  • keys carrying
  • planning unit
  • capacity study
  • indicator variables

  • key largo
  • ccam report
  • key west
  • unit level
  • vested developments

  • output data
  • commercial land
  • urs corporation
  • growth scenario
  • ccam appendix

  • growth scenarios
  • value judgments
  • functional population
  • chain shopping
  • numerical estimates

  • study scenario
  • unlike office
  • evacuation clearance
  • population size
  • dwelling units


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