Communicating Uncertainties in Weather and Climate Information A Workshop Summary (2003) / Chapter Skim
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3. Lessons Learned from the Case Studies
3. Lessons Learned from the Case Studies
Pages 39-42
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From page 39... ...
Again, it is important to note that these are the views of the participants in the workshop and do not constitute findings and recommendations of the National Research Council or the Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate. CONSIDERATIONS BEFORE A FORECAST IS ISSUED Communication and dissemination of information should be integral, ongoing parts of the process, not afterthoughts.
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From page 40... ...
Pressures in a competitive market can result in unwarranted urgent responses to many weather threats. The following factors may affect these situations: · Forecasts not fully supported by the state of the science may have an enormous impact on decision makers and may reduce the credibility of future forecasts.
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From page 41... ...
Effectively communicating uncertainty and its context appropriately shifts the burden and responsibility of decision making to the information user. The following suggestions could improve communications to decision makers: · The use of context (a tie to a past experience)
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From page 42... ...
an understanding of the varying and multiple sources of information. · Conflicting forecasts and information in life threatening situations may result in decision errors, including potentially dangerous inaction by users and decision makers.
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