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2 Committee Methodology
Pages 20-27

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From page 20...
... For example, the committee reviewed Joint Vision 2020 (JCS, 2000) to validate its selection of the technology topics addressed in this report.
From page 21...
... Joint Vision 2020 provides the definitions presented in Box 2-1. The committee also noted the importance of technology warning with respect to the "Innovation" component of Joint Vision 2020 shown in Figure 2-1, since "leaders must assess the efficacy of new ideas, the potential drawbacks to new concepts, the capabilities of potential adversaries, the costs versus benefits of new technologies, and the organizational implications of new capabilities" (JCS, 2000)
From page 22...
... military has devoted significant time to the definition of vital capabilities in alignment with Joint Vision 2020, the committee made no effort in this first report to synchronize its derivations or definitions, or to provide a complete decomposition of the operational concepts and enablers into their underlying capabilities. Rather, committee members selected a few evolving technologies and assessed the potential for those technologies to threaten important U.S.
From page 23...
... Dominant Maneuver is the ability of joint forces to gain positional advantage with deci sive speed and overwhelming operational tempo in the achievement of assigned military tasks. Widely dispersed joint air, land, sea, amphibious, special operations and space forces, capable of scaling and massing force or forces and the effects of fires as required for either combat or noncombat operations, will secure advantage across the range of military operations through the application of information, deception, engagement, mobility and counter-mobility capabilities.
From page 24...
... Accessibility Maturity Consequence Level 1, 2, or 3 Technology Futures Short characterization. Technology Watch Technology Warning Technology Alert
From page 25...
... An adversary has been identified and operational capability is known to exist. Given the potential for disruptive advances through technological breakthroughs or innovative integration, as well as the difficulty of identifying and tracking meaningful indicators, any particular technology is unlikely to progress sequentially through the various categories of Maturity listed above.
From page 26...
... The prioritization methodology lends itself to any number of commercially available tools and techniques designed for assistance in establishing and maintaining a logical and consistent focus as well as the flexibility to react to the dynamics of technology change and country-of-interest variability. During the prioritization process, it will be important to establish measures of performance to allow critical analysis as well as change management in order to improve the overall process.
From page 27...
... Furthermore, since the methodology emerged in parallel with the committee's technology assessments, the approaches taken were not entirely consistent. The foundation provided by Joint Vision 2020 and augmented by the military and professional backgrounds of committee members was used to select the following four key capabilities to assess: · Information superiority (Chapter 3)


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