Avoiding Surprise in an Era of Global Technology Advances (2005) / Chapter Skim
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4 Future Threats to U.S. Airpower in Urban Warfare
4 Future Threats to U.S. Airpower in Urban Warfare
Pages 45-61
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From page 45... ...
Airpower in Urban Warfare INTRODUCTION For the past 50 years, the United States has enjoyed air dominance in all of its conflicts.
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From page 46... ...
airpower in urban warfare can be grouped into the following four broad categories that underpin the operational concepts delineated in Joint Vision 2020 (the concepts are Dominant Maneuver, Precision Engagement, Focused Logistics, and Full Dimensional Protection)
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From page 47... ...
is urban warfare, in which bird- or even insect-sized vehicles could be of use for surveillance and reconnaissance in the cluttered urban environment, even within buildings. The committee believes that the ability of RED forces to field large forces of MAVs developed with commercial off-the-shelf (COTS)
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From page 48... ...
This includes target placement within, under, or near such civilian structures as schools, hospitals, marketplaces, and houses of worship (an approach well suited to urban environments)
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From page 49... ...
As commer cial and consumer users become more concerned with communications security, commercially available strong encryption and the incorporation of such encryption into low-cost cellular phones, walkie-talkies, and personal digital assistants will enhance an adversary's dispersal capabilities. · Low-cost, portable stealth technologies.
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Clearly, this can be a very large set. Here the committee chooses to list a few specific examples of particular relevance to urban warfare: · Increased effectiveness of man-portable air defense systems (MANPADSs)
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An advanced threat with a potential impact similar to, or more serious than, that of the advanced MANPADS discussed above would be the non-nuclear electromagnetic pulse generator, as discussed in Chapter 3. The urban environment in particular is rich in opportunities to conceal such weapons.
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From page 52... ...
Increased Range and/or Reduced Signature · Quiet, efficient micro air-breathing propulsion systems. Such systems include very small piston and gas turbine engines with fuel economy approaching that of larger engines; they range in power from a few kilowatts down to the watt level.
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From page 53... ...
Enhanced Lethality The evolving technologies described in Charts 4-13 through 4-19 may serve to enhance the lethality of RED force capabilities. Counter-BLUE The technologies described in Charts 4-20 through 4-23 could be used to negate the BLUE force advantage.
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From page 54... ...
Accessibility Maturity Consequence Level 3 Warning Negate man-portable air defense system (MANPADS) launch warning; extend MANPADS range; antisatellite interceptors; micro intercontinental ballistic missile or launch vehicles.
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From page 55... ...
Accessibility Maturity Consequence Level 3 Watch Small intercontinental ballistic missiles and space launchers. CHART 4-4 Technology Assessment: Nanoscale Surface Machining Technology Observables Nanoscale surface machining Thermophotovoltaics, university research (Sai et al., 2003)
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From page 56... ...
Accessibility Maturity Consequence Level 2 Warning Improved capability and range in man-portable air defense systems. CHART 4-8 Technology Assessment: Narrowband, Tunable Frequency Agile, Imaging Infrared Optical Filters Technology Observables Narrowband, tunable frequency agile, Microelectromechanical system, commercial imaging infrared optical filters and weapons of mass destruction sensors, (example, monochrometer)
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From page 57... ...
Accessibility Maturity Consequence Level 1 Alert Remote queuing/targeting for man-portable air defense systems and mines; large, informal sensor and/or computer arrays for antistealth. CHART 4-11 Technology Assessment: High-Speed Processor Chips and Mega-Flash Memories Technology Observables High-speed processor chips and mega- Security violations among algorithm flash memories developer institutions.
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Accessibility Maturity Consequence Level 3 Warning Frequency agility command detonation devices; antifuse system. CHART 4-15 Technology Assessment: Very Low Cost Radio-Frequency Proximity Fuses Technology Observables Very low cost radio-frequency proximity Commercial radar detectors, U.S.
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CHART 4-20 Technology Assessment: Very Low Cost, Compact Near-Infrared Images Technology Observables Very low cost, compact near-infrared Automotive market. images Accessibility Maturity Consequence Level 3 Watch Inexpensive, pen-sized laser illuminator warning receivers, trackers.
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CHART 4-23 Technology Assessment: Strong Commercial Encryption for Personal Digital Assistants and Cellular Phones Technology Observables Strong commercial encryption for Global commercial marketplace. personal digital assistants and cellular phones Accessibility Maturity Consequence Level 3 Warning Force dispersion.
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From page 61... ...
1996. Jane's Unmanned Aerial Vehicles and Targets.
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