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Avoiding Surprise in an Era of Global Technology Advances (2005) / Chapter Skim
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7 Findings and Recommendations
Pages 83-86

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From page 83...
... military preeminence. COLLABORATION WITH EXTERNAL SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL COMMUNITIES The committee postulated in Chapter 1 and illustrated in Chapters 3 through 6 that the information technology, biotechnology, microtechnology, and nanotechnology families will increasingly provide building blocks of a foundational nature for military-relevant capabilities for RED (adversarial)
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From page 84...
... This revised perspective imposes a new burden on the technology warning community, generating the need for it to search in different places and in different ways to be able to warn against technological surprise. Recommendation 2: The Defense Intelligence Agency Technology Warning Division, in collabo ration with the related intelligence community components that focus on technology warning, should establish, maintain, and systematically analyze a comprehensive array of indicators pertaining to globalization and commercialization of science and technology to complement and focus intelli gence collection and analysis.
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From page 85...
... For example, while patterns and trends in R&D investments provide useful indicators of the distributed research talent, the globalization of manufacturing facilities may indicate an equally important trend in distributing systems integration expertise. The committee acknowledges that not all important technological advances will occur in this arena, so long-standing approaches to detecting covert advances will continue to be important.
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From page 86...
... Foreign governments and nonstate actors are gaining access to the same building-block technologies -- often via the commercial marketplace. The committee applauds the Defense Intelligence Agency's recognition that unprecedented challenges require new collaborations and new approaches, and commends the efforts already underway.
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