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B Prospectus for Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.2
Pages 33-46

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From page 33...
... Climate Change Science Program (CCSP) is an interagency endeavor designed to create an extensive body of scientific knowledge and associated decision support tools that can foster improved understanding and adaptation in the face of a dynamic climate system.
From page 34...
... Given the importance of providing clear information concerning uncertainties associated with the application of climate science and information in decision making, the CCSP is developing a Synthesis and Assessment Product (5.2) that explicitly focuses on best practices for characterizing, communicating and incorporating scientific uncertainty.
From page 35...
... The second purpose is to provide recommendations for best practices for characterizing, analyzing and communicating uncertainty for scientists, science managers, and technical operational entities involved in conducting research and assessments, and producing climate information in the context of decision support, based on a thorough, state-of-the-art assessment of the current state of understanding. This latter audience includes, but is not limited to, future CCSP assessment efforts.
From page 36...
... decision analysis and social science-based guidelines for future CCSP, assessment and decision support activities and for researchers participating in broader assessment activities, such as the IPCC. 1.4 Key Questions SAP 5.2 will address the following questions in the context of climate science: How is uncertainty estimated and measured?
From page 37...
... 3. SAP 5.2 LEAD AND CONTRIBUTING AUTHORS As articulated in the Guidelines for Producing CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Products, lead and contributing authors of SAPs are expected to be individuals with recognized technical expertise in a field relevant to the specific question(s)
From page 38...
... They interact frequently on this topic with their scientific colleagues at workshops, conferences and advisory panels as well as decision makers, seeking and receiving feedback on specific theories, approaches and conclusions. The team will continue to do so, and will seek specific opportunities to vet this material by participating in conferences, workshops and other forums that present an opportunity for obtaining feedback from members of the broader stakeholder community, including but not limited to, the lead authors of other CCSP SAPs.
From page 39...
... . The Guidelines for Producing CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Products essentially requires three levels of review for each SAP: a)
From page 40...
... , and the development of Guidance Notes for Lead Authors of the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report on Addressing Uncertainties. NRC Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate (BASC)
From page 41...
... APPENDIX B 41 November/ December NRC review of draft #1, including stakeholder session 2007 January NRC review of draft report #1 delivered to CCSP February Author team considers NRC review and develops draft #2 March Public review of draft report #2 begins (45 day period) April Author team considers public review and develops draft #3 April Draft report #3 submitted to CCSP Interagency Committee and NSTC for review and approval May Final product posted on CCSP web site
From page 42...
... At Carnegie Mellon, Morgan directs the NSF Climate Decision Making Center and co-directs, together with Lester Lave, the Carnegie Mellon Electricity Industry Center. Morgan serves as Chair of the EPA Science Advisory Board, Chair of the EPRI Advisory Council, and Chair of the Scientific and Technical Council for the International Risk Governance Council (based in Geneva, Switzerland)
From page 43...
... Roughly half of his technical and policy work addresses the capture and storage of CO2, including work managing the risks of geologic storage and services as chair of a crosscutting group for the IPCC special report on CO2 storage. Keith serves as a member of several advisory boards and panels including Canada's ‘blue ribbon' Panel on Sustainable Energy Technology, and the InterAcademy Council study on Transitions to a Sustainable Energy Systems, and as member of U.S.
From page 44...
... He is Coordinating Lead Author for the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Working Group II, Chapter 7: Industry, Settlement, and Society. He is a past President of the Association of American Geographers and a Fellow of the AAAS.
From page 45...
... IPCC, 2004: Workshop Report: IPCC Workshop on Describing Scientific Uncertainties in Climate Change to Support Analysis of Risk and of Options, Michael Manning, Michel Petit, David Easterling, James Murphy, Anand Patwardhan, Hans-Holger Rogner, Rob Swart and Gary Yohe (eds.) , May 11-13, 2004, National University of Ireland, Maynooth, Co.Kildare, Ireland 138pp.


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