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Review of the U.S. Climate Change Science Program's Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.2, "Best Practice Approaches for Characterizing, Communicating, and Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty in Climate Decision Making" (2007) / Chapter Skim
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Pages 1-2

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... The current draft was clearly written for an audience of researchers involved in assessment efforts, and it contains material that should be very useful to them: a discussion of cognitive factors in understanding uncertainty; presentation of the methods for expert elicitation under conditions of "deep uncertainty," and useful advice for characterizing and presenting uncertainty in assessments. However, even for this audience the report should contain additional material: a fuller discussion of the range of scientific methods, including frequentist and objective Bayesian approaches for characterizing uncertainty; assessments of research relating to social contextual and emotive factors that, along with cognitive factors, affect the uncertainty judgments of experts and non-experts alike; and introductory and summary material.
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Key Terms

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  • bayesian approaches

  • social contextual
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