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9 State of the Art with Respect to Military Needs
Pages 329-336

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From page 329...
... Disrupt Terrorist Networks One potential use of cultural and organizational models is to fuse partial and uncertain information from multiple sources to develop a model of the network structure of a terrorist organization and to use that model to evaluate alternative strategies for disrupting that organization, for example, through disconnecting leaders or interrupting recruiting. This goal can be supported by many of the modeling approaches described earlier, and each has its own limitations for attacking the problem.
From page 330...
... Social network analysis models can predict how changes in leadership will affect network structure and change power and centrality. Dynamic network analysis models could Requires resource and activity data, which predict who the emergent leader will be if are very difficult to acquire.
From page 331...
... In the example of forecasting enemy response to a disinformation campaign about troop movements, network models are clearly applicable conceptually -- the limitations are in the details that would make the model useful for a specific cultural context. First, we lack theory regarding cultural differences in the believability of a message as a function of its source.
From page 332...
... As in the previous example, the major recommended mitigation strategies (see Chapter 11) include the development and dissemination of detailed datasets and the development of a close collaborative relationship between model developers, subject matter experts, and model users.
From page 333...
... Crowd Control Training Virtual training environments offer an opportunity for troops involved in peacekeeping operations to learn best practices for crowd control. Such training will require models of noncombatants that respond to trainee actions in a way that is realistic and appropriate for a specific location and cultural environment.
From page 334...
... Organizational Design: Force Composition and Command and Control Architecture Because of the rapid changes in mission requirements, the military services are moving toward modular expeditionary forces that are readily reconfigurable for different types of missions. Making the best use of these modular forces requires not only a recommended force composition (systems, equipment, units, and personnel)
From page 335...
... The best C2 architecture is especially challenging for coalition operations, in which different types of forces may be involved, and for peacekeeping and disaster relief operations, which require close coordination with non­ government organizations. The major limitation for this work is the need for detailed information on the tasks to be accomplished in the mission and the resources required to accomplish those tasks.
From page 336...
... 336 BEHAVIORAL MODELING AND SIMULATION Reference Carroll, T.N., Gormley, T.J., Bilardo, V.J., Burton, R.M., and Woodman, K.L.


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