Behavioral Modeling and Simulation From Individuals to Societies (2008) / Chapter Skim
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Appendix B: Exemplary Scenarios and Vignettes to Illustrate Potential Model Uses
Appendix B: Exemplary Scenarios and Vignettes to Illustrate Potential Model Uses
Pages 381-388
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From page 381... ...
Researchers and model developers might believe that there are any number of scenarios available on which one might build one's analyses, but this is not the case. It is very difficult to find one that embraces all of the likely future combat conditions, since official publications state that realistic scenarios must include • modernized industrial age forces with high-tech systems and more primitive paramilitary and insurgent forces; • complex terrain and urban environments; • failed states (the norm)
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From page 382... ...
as part of a joint campaign. As stated in the TRADOC pamphlet: "They are presented for illustrative purposes only and are cast incidentally in the trans-Caucasus region to account for the realistic, tough range of variables and conditions, as well as the difficulty of the tactical dilemmas presented" (U.S.
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From page 383... ...
The pamphlet emphasizes joint operations, and it explicitly describes new tactical principles based on development of the situation in and out of contact with the enemy. In addition, the trans-Caucasus region includes longstanding fault lines of bitter ethnic rivalry dating back millennia and thus supports strong components of scenario design for purposes of assessing particular behavioral model applications with religious, political, social, economic, and cultural impacts.
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From page 384... ...
. B-2.eps bitmap image redrawn with real type attack, targeting information, and battle damage assessment support during the planning and execution of multiple, simultaneous decisive actions by means of information and intelligence collection, analysis, processing, integration, and dissemination.
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From page 385... ...
The future intent is also for intelligence already available from national and theater assets, as well as information on friendly forces, weather, and geospatial products provided through the global information grid, routed through the combat information centers, to be pushed directly to the BCT, allowing the commanders to do planning and rehearsals en route. When the FOB is secure, the BCT will enter the transition phase, a movement to contact, prior to entering their objective area, Baku.
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From page 386... ...
The enemy 304th Brigade will marshal all the resources available in the locale and use every means possible to disrupt, attrite, and destroy elements of the BCT. Hasty and deliberate attacks resembling cold war maneuvers, crowds laced with suicide bombers, attacks by fire, mines, and improvised explosive devices will be used by the enemy at every possible opportunity.
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From page 387... ...
It will have made some preparation for MUO during the movement to contact and transition phases, but the less built-up areas encountered en route to Baku will bear very little resemblance to Baku itself. Baku is a third-world city of 2 million composed of massed and heavyclad framed buildings, which are dispersed in circular street patterns.
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From page 388... ...
Small unit effectiveness and empowered leadership are critical to the success of these operations. Close urban assault has a significant dismounted character, requiring a robust infantry capability to engage and sustain the urban fight.
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