Restructuring Federal Climate Research to Meet the Challenges of Climate Change (2009) / Chapter Skim
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Appendix C: Process for Identifying Priority Areas
Appendix C: Process for Identifying Priority Areas
Pages 159-166
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Choose a final list of priorities based on workshop and other input and connections with climate change issues of importance to society 159
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Climate Change Science Program: Methods and Preliminary Results (NRC, 2007) and discussion papers prepared by the National Academies Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change (CHDGC)
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TABLE C.1 Primary Sources of Input for Prioritization Process Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 Step 4 Topic Goals Priority Areas Criteria Workshop APPENDIX C Applications CCSP overarching NRC (2007) and Workshop partici- October 15–17, 2007; goals CHDGC and CRC pants 104 experts: discussion papers • 37% academia • 11% industry • 44% government • 8% NGO Science CCSP overarching CHDGC and CRC 22 NRC reports on March 19–20, 2008; goals discussion papers setting science pri- 78 experts: orities • 69% academia • 5% industry • 17% government • 9% NGO NOTE: CHDGC = Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change; CCSP = Climate Change Science Program; CRC = Climate Research Committee; NGO = nongovernmental organization; NRC = National Research Council.
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• Impacts (e.g., breadth of beneficiaries; potential for informing decisions, improving public understanding, or reducing risk) • Cost The criteria for ranking applications priority areas were identified at the applications workshop.
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• Accounting for the tails of the probability distribution of future climate changes for risk analysis, adaptation, and cost estimates of climate changes (scientists tend to work with the means) • Regional climate change impact analysis (i.e., the locations of various changes in different regions and the time frames over which the changes will occur)
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• Melting ice sheets, alpine glaciers, and sea level rise (including coastal impacts) • Decadal prediction, with a focus on regional scales, including abrupt climate change • Extreme events and hazards (especially hurricanes and drought)
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and adaptation • Characterizing human perceptions and valuations of impacts and risks of climate change, including variability, speed of change, and abrupt change • Human and systems differential vulnerabilities to climate change including scenarios, mapping, and development of metrics of adaptive capacity • Methods and processes to support effective climate decision making (including communication and education) • Ethics and equity of climate change and responses
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NRC, 2007, Evaluating Progress of the U.S. Climate Change Sci ence Program: Methods and Preliminary Results, National Academies Press, Washington, D.C., 170 pp.
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