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Evaluation of the Updated Site-Specific Risk Assessment for the National Bio- and Agro-Defense Facility in Manhattan, Kansas (2012) / Chapter Skim
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5 Evaluation of Fate and Transport Modeling
Pages 49-52

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From page 49...
... to examine the effects of uncertainty in meteorological variables and model parameters on predicted doses; accounting for livestock distribution in computing the integrated dose (the dose is related to the risk of infection at any specified location relative to the release location) ; and using three different methods to estimate the risk of infection resulting from a dose of foot-and-mouth disease virus (FMDv)
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From page 50...
... The linear model typically leads to lower probabilities of spread over shorter distances and higher probabilities over longer distances. The uSSRA states that the adoption of the exponential option was based on FMDv dispersion modeling results as illustrated in Figure 6.1.419 (p.
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From page 51...
... . The uncertainty in the NAADSM airborne spread model suggests the need to conduct sensitivity analyses to examine the effects of both model formulation and parameter values on FMDv spread and hence on the economic impact of FMDv release from the NBAF.
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Key Terms

  • spread model
  • modeling airborne
  • boundary layer
  • fmdv release
  • airborne transport

  • potential releases
  • livestock distribution
  • pollution modeling
  • layer limits
  • animal disease

  • disease spread
  • conducting sensitivity
  • location relative
  • integrated puff
  • sensitivity analysis

  • logical inputs
  • sensitivity analyses
  • potential fmdv
  • meteorological conditions
  • release location

  • american animal
  • atmospheric boundary
  • model suggests
  • puff model
  • meteorological variables

  • assumes exponential
  • spread relative
  • naadsm airborne
  • gaussian puffs
  • conduct sensitivity


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