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8 CONCLUSIONS
Pages 62-65

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From page 62...
... With respect to these five data sources, used to forecast Oahu's New Year's flood, the following comments can be made: The numerical guidance products adequately described the evolution of synoptic events. The local analyses captured the surface conditions.
From page 63...
... The unavailability of adequate radar information, coupled with high clouds masking the actual rain clouds and with no useful public reports until 7:00 p.m., December 31, left forecasters with no evidence to justify more frequent raingauge telemetry. CAUSE OF THE FLOOD EVENT The Oahu New Year's Eve flood event and the resulting damage were caused by a combination of four factors.
From page 64...
... In general, the following conclusions about the adequacy of the response to the flash flood episode can be drawn: The inability of the National Weather Service to issue a flood watch announcement prior to the onset of flooding resulted in a lack of predisaster mobilization efforts by emergency response agencies that delayed their ability to respond quickly to flood problems, especially in the Hawaii Kai area. The holiday created exceptional problems for the mobilization, coordination, and provision of emergency response personnel and services during the early flash flood period.
From page 65...
... These conclusions clearly indicate the need to extend flood insurance rate mapping to currently unmapped areas as well as the need to review and update the present maps. However, the difficulty of improving FIRMs should notbe minimized.


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