A Safer Future Reducing the Impacts of Natural Disasters (1991) / Chapter Skim
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6. Prediction and Warning
6. Prediction and Warning
Pages 37-44
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From page 37... ...
To achieve this goal, the Committee proposes: · the upgrading of natural hazard prediction and warning systems through application of state-of-theart science and technology; · augmentation of research programs on the basic physical and biological processes of natural hazards, models to predict their occurrence, and technology to detect and monitor them and to disseminate warnings; and · expansion of research on the social aspects of effective warning messages.
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From page 38... ...
With the NWS modernization, such a research program is scientifically and economically feasible. The effort would increase prediction accuracy and the lead time for flash floods, lan(lsTicles, tornadoes, microbursts, and intense winter storms.
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From page 39... ...
research to improve numerical models for predicting the track and intensity of hurricanes and, correspondingly, to improve the observational network spanning the Gulf of Mexico, the Caribbean, and adjacent parts of the Atlantic. Among the federal agencies that should fund or undertake this research are NOAA and the Office of U.S.
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From page 40... ...
They may obliterate threatened and endangered species, inflict heavy damage on aquatic resources, flatten what might have been billions of board feet of timber, harm watersheds that supply major metropolitan areas, and damage air quality. Secondary impacts of natural disasters such as broken pipelines, streams blocked by debris, and emergency action to remove landslides can substantially increase damage to economically and environmentally important natural resources.
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From page 41... ...
New technologies could solve some of these problems special tone alerts such as those provided by NOAA Weather Radio that activate radio receivers only in the areas where a natural hazard has been predicted; the capability to send specifically addressed information using satellite communications to designated emergency management officials; an alert broadcast capability built into the Ioca] telephone network tO provide a special ring accompanied by a recorded alert message to all telephones in a designated geographic area; and localized television displays of predicted severe weather and flooding.
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From page 42... ...
~r~tainside, leaving it looking like so many pick-? ~psticks tossed by art angry child{.
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From page 43... ...
People may feel, for example, that the possibility of looters is more threatening than an approaching flood, although research shows that looting seldom occurs in community disasters. Despite the body of knowledge from research on behavioral response to warnings, advanced stuclies are needecI.
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From page 44... ...
Disasters have been a part of life thro? vgho?
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