The Future of the U.S.-Soviet Nuclear Relationship (1991) / Chapter Skim
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Executive Summary
Executive Summary
Pages 1-5
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Moreover, while the Soviet Union still has an immense nuclear arsenal that could devastate the United States, the likelihood of such an attack, always remote, seems to have diminished even further. Despite major uncertainties about the outcome of current internal Soviet developments, the reduction of the Soviet military threat to the United States and its allies is likely to continue in the near future.
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The increased commercial availability of the advanced technologies supporting nuclear weapons and their delivery systems has now put nuclear weapons technically within reach of a growing number of developing countries, as well as all of the major industrial nations. Successful efforts to control nuclear proliferation will require reducing the political demand for nuclear weapons as well as much more effective efforts to control the supply of the specific technologies.
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In the agreements that follow the Strategic A~s Reduction Treaty (START) , the United States and the Soviet Union should reduce the number of nuclear warheads ire their strategic forces to 3,000-4,000 actual warheads, a reduction of as much as a factor of 3 below anticipated START levels.
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Such an organization could serve the following purposes: · improving transparency among the present nuclear states regarding deployments, safety, command and control, and warning systems affecting possible nuclear threats inside and outside Europe; · reviewing plans for any new nuclear system, upgrade, or deployments, or any increase in the levels of systems, and making recommendations regarding these plans to the appropriate political body; · preparing to participate in the next reduction negotiations between the United States and the Soviet Union; and, eventually, · providing for some measure of joint management of the nuclear forces remaining in Europe, including those of Great Britain and France under agreed political auspices.
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From page 5... ...
regime by augmenting the safeguards required of treaty signatories on their own programs and ore the programs of countries to which they export materials and equipment; · strengthen existing international agreements restricting technology applicable to nuclear weapons programs and related delivery systems and, where necessary, negotiate new ones; · promote parallel declarations by all nuclear weapon states that they will not use or threaten to use nuclear weapons against nonnuclear weapon states in any circumstances and that their nuclear weapons serve no purpose beyond the deterrence of, or possible response to, the use of nuclear weapons by other nuclear weapon states; and · support regional arms control efforts aimed at limiting arms races and local security threats.
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