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Next Generation Earth System Prediction Strategies for Subseasonal to Seasonal Forecasts (2016) / Chapter Skim
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Appendix A: Committee's Statement of Task
Pages 317-318

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From page 317...
... The committee's report will cover • Identification of potential sources of predictability and assessment of their relative value for advancing predictive skill; • Identification of process studies for incorporating new sources of predictability into models; • Application and advancement of ocean-atmosphere-ice-land coupled models; • Key observations needed for model initialization and verification of S2S forecasts; • Uncertainty quantification and verification of probabilistic products; • Approaches to communicating this type of prediction in a way that is useful to and understandable by decision makers; and • Computational and data storage and visualization infrastructure requirements.
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Key Terms

  • currently operational
  • accelerate progress
  • uncertainty quantification
  • key observations
  • data storage

  • visualization infrastructure
  • infrastructure requirements
  • advancing predictive
  • temporal resolutions
  • extending prediction

  • extended lead
  • predictive skill
  • tific research
  • relative value
  • ocean forecasts

  • model initialization
  • prediction skill
  • scientific research
  • scientific capability
  • potential sources

  • process studies
  • probabilistic products
  • research agenda
  • decision makers
  • coupled models


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