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4 Methods for Spatial Analysis: Identifying Scenarios
Pages 23-34

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From page 23...
... Other input to the model included available parcels and actions, costs and performance, and ecosystem service goals. In describing the model, Dr.
From page 24...
... 2008. Prioritizing invasive species management by optimizing production of ecosystem service benefits.
From page 25...
... Silfleet. Assessing Lost Ecosystem Service Benefits Due to Mining-Induced Stream Degradation in the Appalachian Region: Economic Approaches to Valuing Recreational Fishing Impacts.
From page 26...
... FIGURE 4-3  Modeling scenarios where mining occurred with 100 percent of mine permits being utilized and an intermediate scenario of 20 percent of mining permits being utilized. SOURCE: Lisa Wainger, Presentation, National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, June 2, 2015, Washington, D.C.
From page 27...
... Scenario analysis can reveal the costs, benefits, and sensitivities of specific policies. Scenario analysis can demonstrate the landscape effects of policy decisions, and how applying the highest and best use principle can help clarify the best deci­ sion to make -- it is a decision support tool.
From page 28...
... The Olympic Dam copper mine in Australia is one of the largest copper mines in the world; however, it is underground and has a land surface disturbance of only 13 square kilometers. In contrast, the Gold Strike gold mine in Nevada is an open pit mine with a land surface disturbance of 130 square kilometers.
From page 29...
... A private sector entity could use such information to determine the potential return on an investment and whether it is great enough to warrant the initial investment and potential risk.
From page 30...
... A greedy algorithm follows a problem-solving heuristic of making the locally optimal choice at different stages with the hope of finding a global optimum. The TNC project assessed habitat patches in terms of biodiversity, species richness, species rarity, habitat geometry, area effects, edge effects, and threats from development.
From page 31...
... Extending the path model allows a landscape manager to consider other factors that would be affected by managing the forest structure in this way; however, there is much work needed in better understanding all the connections. There has been extensive work on fire management in the western United States, for example, but little progress made on using wildlife habitat suitability models to examine what that management means for biodiversity.
From page 32...
... He provided an example of forest thinning from the guidebook, which positions various models (i.e., fire behavior, species distribution and population, and air plume models) between key elements of the path model (i.e., forest structure, fire behavior, species habitat, species population, and air quality)
From page 33...
... It is useful, she added, to use a more conceptual model when there is more uncertainty in the data, and that it is not critical to have a robust decision; there can be a range of methods used to arrive at a decision without using complex models and conducting a rigorous uncertainty analysis.


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