Strategic Issues Facing Transportation, Volume 6: The Effects of Socio-Demographics on Future Travel Demand (2014) / Chapter Skim
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Pages 9-22
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From page 9... ...
9 Starting just after World War II, the number of miles driven annually on America's roads steadily increased. The rising numbers were related to societal shifts, such as women joining the workforce, families moving to the suburbs, and the greater affordability of more cars for more people.
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10 The Effects of Socio-Demographics on Future Travel Demand include age, household structure, acculturation, race/ethnicity, household income, workforce participation, and residential location. In addition, in selecting these trends, the study team focused on several external factors that are intertwined with socio-demographics, such as changes in vehicle and information technologies and cultural shifts in attitudes toward sustainability or environmental consciousness.
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Key Trends, Drivers, and Projected Impact on Travel Behavior 11 which was smaller than the growth from the decade before (1990 to 2000) , both in absolute terms and as a percentage of initial population.
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12 The Effects of Socio-Demographics on Future Travel Demand When talking about the aging of the U.S. population, it makes sense to discuss this in terms of the succession of accepted generations, demarcated by historical circumstances.
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Key Trends, Drivers, and Projected Impact on Travel Behavior 13 It is also clear in recent cross-sectional data sets at the regional level that the percentage of trips people make by nonauto modes (transit, walk, and bike) tends to decrease with age.
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14 The Effects of Socio-Demographics on Future Travel Demand about 9 million to 35 million. Between 2000 and 2010, the total U.S.
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Key Trends, Drivers, and Projected Impact on Travel Behavior 15 The overall size of the U.S. labor force has been increasing over time due to population growth and increased female participation in the labor force.
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16 The Effects of Socio-Demographics on Future Travel Demand As noted, the U.S. Hispanic population is growing at the fastest rate of all racial and ethnic groups.
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Key Trends, Drivers, and Projected Impact on Travel Behavior 17 same way; in the past decade, inner-ring suburbs have experienced population changes more similar to those in center cities than to outer-ring suburbs. Data from the 2010 Census also show that many closer-in suburbs linked to a city with public transit or well-developed roadways are benefiting from strong city growth, while exurbs near the metropolitan edge are not prospering quite as well.
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From page 18... ...
18 The Effects of Socio-Demographics on Future Travel Demand Trend 6: Slow Growth in Households The rate of new household formation has plunged since 2006, creating more single households and also more multigenerational and larger households. • Drivers: Poor labor market, aging population, lifestyle choices of Millennials.
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Key Trends, Drivers, and Projected Impact on Travel Behavior 19 is different about today is that the age at first marriage has increased. The vast majority (90 percent)
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20 The Effects of Socio-Demographics on Future Travel Demand Trend data indicate that these alternative means of communication have thrived among mobile phone users. A 2013 Pew Research Center survey found that 91 percent of American adults own a cell phone and 56 percent of adults own a smartphone (Pew 2013a)
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Key Trends, Drivers, and Projected Impact on Travel Behavior 21 However, they also go on to say that they do not believe this was at all likely at that moment (in 1990)
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22 The Effects of Socio-Demographics on Future Travel Demand attitudinal distribution is seen on the question of whether stricter environmental laws and regulations are (1) worth the cost or (2)
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