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From page 35... ...
35 Model Validation The purpose of model validation was to perform an independent check to compare risk estimated with the models to historical risk rates for a sample of airports. Moreover, probability distributions used to develop the models were compared to the probability distribution generated with an independent sample of veer-off records.
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From page 36... ...
36 in Figure 33. The technique is used to test the hypothesis that two probability distributions match.
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From page 37... ...
37 for the entire airport, as shown in column 5 of Table 10. The last two columns of Table 10 contain the incident type with highest chances of occurrence and the most critical runway.
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From page 38... ...
38 for the sample of eight airports. The estimated risk of veer-off accidents is associated with the likelihood of an accident, rather than a simple incident.
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From page 39... ...
39 and accidents)
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