Addressing Uncertainty about Future Airport Activity Levels in Airport Decision Making (2012) / Chapter Skim
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Pages 102-104
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Conclusions and Recommendations for Further Research P a r t I V
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109 14.1 Conclusions This report finds that (1) differences between assumed and actual events significantly diminish the accuracy of airport activity forecasts developed with traditional techniques and, (2)
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110 methods can be integrated with the methodology developed in this guidebook to enhance the way airports accommodate the reality of rare, high-impact events in the planning process. The risks of political factors altering the appropriate design, timing, or financial arrangements for airport development, while less amenable to quantitative treatment than economic, demographic, and other statistically measurable variables, can be no less significant in their implications for airport plans.
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