From Research to Reward How a Political Scientist Knows What Our Enemies Will Do (Often Before They Do) (2016) / Chapter Skim
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How a Political Scientist Knows What Our Enemies Will Do (Often Before They Do)
How a Political Scientist Knows What Our Enemies Will Do (Often Before They Do)
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And at Los Angeles International Airport a computer system predicts the tactical calculations of criminals and terrorists, making sure that patrols and checkpoints are placed in ways that adversaries can't exploit. The advances in solving the puzzle of human behavior represent a dramatic turnaround for the field of political science, notes Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, a professor of politics at New York University.
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For the method to work, however, researchers m need both detailed and accurate data about the conflict they seek to under stand as well as a functional model that can make predictions about possible Political scientist Bruce future events. Bueno de Mesquita Often, that information is gathered using the longstanding tools of political science: systematic surveys to reveal individuals' beliefs, extensive interviewing of stakeholders (or experts on the stakeholders)
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Riker built on von Neumann and Morgenstern's principles to solve a different, related problem: how politicians -- and nations -- form and keep up alliances. It was a new way to do political science, one that deeply impressed Bueno de Mesquita when he arrived at Riker's political science department at the University of Rochester in 1973.
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For more than 150 years, it has provided independent, objective scientific advice to the nation. © 2016 by the National Academy of Sciences Bruce Bueno de Mesquita: Arlene Bueno de Mesquita • Book cover: Sophia Rare Books • Von Neumann lec ture: Alfred Eisenstaedt/The LIFE Picture Collection • Town damaged in Syrian conflict: Reuters/Khalil Ashawi • Ferdinand and Imelda Marcos campaigning: Peter Charlesworth/LightRocket via Getty Images • Signing of Good Friday Agreement: Press Association via AP Images • LAX security screening area: Bloomberg via Getty Images
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