Frontiers in Decadal Climate Variability Proceedings of a Workshop (2016) / Chapter Skim
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The views contained in the report are those of individual workshop participants and do not necessarily represent the views of all workshop participants, the planning committee, or the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.
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Workshop participants shared research into potential mechanisms driving Pacific temperature swings, including storage of excess heat in the deeper ocean, movement of heat to the Indian Ocean, wind-driven changes, and teleconnections with the Atlantic Ocean. Proposed mechanisms of Atlantic variability include changes induced by the ocean's major current (the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, or AMOC)
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Much remains to be learned before scientists will be able to make skillful predictions of variability on these timescales, however. Workshop participants discussed the importance of advancing understanding of how all of the physical mechanisms in the ocean and atmosphere work in concert to produce decadal variability in the GMST and of improving observations and modeling capabilities in order to make predictions.
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