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Pages 1-8

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From page 1...
... behavior and thereby providing invaluable information for Gulf of Mexico oil and gas operations, disaster response, ecologically based management of living marine resources, tropical cyclone intensification predictions and track forecasting, and estimating the moisture flux into the U.S. heartland and the latent heat flux that drives extratropical storms and tornados.
From page 2...
... The committee's overarching recommendation is to create a comprehensive, longterm, vertically integrated, coordinated set of observations over the climatologically relevant LCS active area. This should lead to new analyses that result in new theory and understanding, which in turn can update model physics and provide opportunities to assimilate more near-real-time data.
From page 3...
... •  ssess the capacity of current technologies to meet the overarching goal of character A izing Loop Current dynamics and suggest opportunities for new approaches, improved technologies, or transfer of technologies from other fields. • Describe critical components of a field campaign necessary to fill in gaps identified by the committee in observations and observational technology, data assimilation, and physics and analyses that are needed to improve understanding of Loop Current variability and improve modeling and forecasting skill.
From page 4...
... The advice may be viewed in four principal parts: recommendations on several near-term funding opportunities for initial observations and studies that will better inform the campaign at large; advice on the major campaign solicitation, including selection process alternatives and organizational relationships between the GRP and its campaign performers; advice on the wide range of collaboration opportunities with various potential partners over the next decade; and estimated costs of carrying out the campaign, including procurements, operations and maintenance, data management, overall management and administration, scientific analyses, and data assimilation/modeling tasks.
From page 5...
... 8 Available Florida Straits data should be retrieved and used in outflow analysis. In the near term, the GRP should work with Mexican institutions on gaining access to data from the Yucatan Channel mooring array, as well as support for additional analysis.
From page 6...
... , or at the shelf break region, just to the northwest of the Dry Tortugas, to get the long-term observational effort started earlier and to confirm times regarding when the LC is driving the West Florida Shelf circulation, a phenomenon hypothesized to also be controlling the LC itself. 16 In the near term, a team of scientists and engineers familiar with acoustic data communication networks should be supported to determine the feasibility of designing (and, if feasible, building)
From page 7...
... 27 In the near term, the GRP should support a desktop-style study to digitally com pile (and make publicly accessible) physical oceanographic data from Gulf of Mexico field studies carried out between 2002 and 2018.
From page 8...
... in the LCS active area and in areas where the LCEs propagate. The committee recommends a hierarchy of forecast periods, matched to the relevant processes and regions of interest: • Improve predictive skill in forecasting the LC and/or LCE current speed, vertical structure, and duration in the oil/gas operating area out to a fore cast period of days to 1 week • Improve predictive skill in forecasting the extension of the LC (location and duration)


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