Zero Emission Vehicles: Forecasting Fleet Scenarios and their Emissions Implications (2019) / Chapter Skim
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1 SUMMARY This report presents work completed for NCHRP 25-25 Task 115: Estimates of Emissions Reductions from Future Fleet Changes for Use in Air Quality Models. The goal of this work was to quantify emission changes of criteria pollutants, mobile source air toxics (MSATs)
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2 o Negative attitude towards new technology Several other factors play a supporting role in driving ATV adoption. Technology changes continue to drive down purchase cost for ATVs.
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3 The relative increases in ZEV populations modeled by MA3T are generally consistent with the findings in the literature review (e.g., the literature shows that purchase cost is the greatest barrier to ZEV adoption, and the largest ZEV population increases modeled with MA3T [and corresponding reductions in emissions] are for the cost parity scenarios)
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4 in 2040. Although financial incentives like tax credits and rebates contribute to the reduction of overall ZEV cost, the MA3T model generally estimated moderate increases in the ZEV population as a result of changes to those inputs, with the greatest increases due to extension of the duration of rebates.
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