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Appendix D: Global Trends 2040
Pages 119-121

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From page 119...
... • Societal changes result from populations becoming pessimistic and distrustful because of economic, technological, and demographic trends; increasingly siloed information contributes to fault lines supporting civic nationalism, volatility, and a more informed population with the ability to express demands directly. • Future scenarios for 2040 include resurgence of open democracies, rapid technological developments, and public–private partnerships that transform the global economy while improving the quality of life, in contrast to efforts by China and Russia to increase societal controls with monitoring techniques.
From page 120...
... This mismatch between public demand and government capability extends to the international level: no one state controls, although the United States and China continue to have powerful, if apposite, levels of influence. From the international perspective, without unitary control, the world is adrift and several outcome options compete: • A directionless, chaotic, volatile world, with rules ignored; • Competitive co-existence as the norm; • Separate silos; or • Tragedy, followed by a more cohesive mobilization and move to common standards.
From page 121...
... -- Climate change remains a challenge for stability. • Separate silos: -- Separate economies risk financial loss as supply chains facture, markets are lost, and other sectors decline, even though supply chain disruptions are less problematic.

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