Recent Decline in Public Transportation Ridership: Analysis, Causes, and Responses (2022) / Chapter Skim
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Pages 44-51
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44 Aging rail systems face a dilemma. These systems are often capacity-constrained all day, but particularly in the peak hours.
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Examining the Peaking Phenomenon in Bay Area Rapid Transit Ridership 45 BART is studying plans to expand capacity across the bay with a second tunnel. According to a report by the Association of Bay Area Governments and the Metropolitan Transportation Commission, the new crossing would carry an additional 25,000 passengers at peak hour and cost between $30 billion and $50 billion.
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46 Recent Decline in Public Transportation Ridership: Analysis, Causes, and Responses The decline in BART ridership is enigmatic because it coincides with growth in both jobs and population. To better understand how ridership has evolved by time period, Figure 5-3 shows the average hourly passenger trips by time of day for weekdays, Saturdays, and Sundays.
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Examining the Peaking Phenomenon in Bay Area Rapid Transit Ridership 47 Source (data)
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48 Recent Decline in Public Transportation Ridership: Analysis, Causes, and Responses Observable changes in service levels over time do not explain the peaking phenomenon. As shown in Figure 5-4, weekday frequency before 6 p.m.
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Examining the Peaking Phenomenon in Bay Area Rapid Transit Ridership 49 the COVID-19 pandemic. Therefore, the schedule information presented to passengers through the GTFS and related third-party applications distinguished between single-tracking days and regular days.
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50 Recent Decline in Public Transportation Ridership: Analysis, Causes, and Responses Another perspective is that single-tracking affects ridership in the longer term. Because singletracking does not involve changing the schedule and would thus not be reflected in GTFSbased information sources, many passengers typically do not know whether their train will be single-tracked.
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Examining the Peaking Phenomenon in Bay Area Rapid Transit Ridership 51 to scale back single-tracking that reduces service levels, high-capacity bus service could provide regional mobility at night and on the weekend to supplement heavy rail service. Enhanced, high-quality passenger information is also an important tool to help passengers plan their trips, especially when service is unpredictable.
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