Aviation After a Year of Pandemic Economics, People, and Technology: Proceedings of a Workshop (2022) / Chapter Skim
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2 Overview: Lessons Learned from the COVID-19 Pandemic
2 Overview: Lessons Learned from the COVID-19 Pandemic
Pages 3-12
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From page 3... ...
Del Rio provided an overview of the COVID pandemic and its effects on the global air travel industry. Additionally, he discussed various health policies that have been introduced to fight the pandemic and gave some predictions concerning air travel industry expectations over the next few years.
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Switching to the effects of the COVID pandemic on the aviation industry, del Rio began by describing how the pandemic quickly shut down a large percentage of flights around the world: a 10 percent drop in early March 2020 compared with the same time in 2020, increasing to an 80 percent decrease by April. After May 2020, air travel began to increase, but it remained significantly below pre-pandemic levels throughout 2020 and into 2021.
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Additionally, PCR testing 72 hours before a flight or rapid testing at the time of boarding decreases the risk of in-flight transmission. "So, I think we've learned that air travel can actually be made secure," he said, "and with vaccinations increasingly going up I think we will see travel return, but I think it will be more leisure travel than business travel for some time to come." KEYNOTE 1 DISCUSSION In the discussion period, Clarke asked the first question: Where did del Rio get the prediction that business travel will be at only 80 percent of pre-pandemic levels by 2024?
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In a follow-up question, Clarke asked whether some of what has been learned in dealing with COVID might be applied to other infectious diseases such as the flu. It might make sense, del Rio said, to require proof of flu vaccine for certain types of travel, and the use of masking might also be expanded beyond COVID.
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Limiting the number and size of carry-ons should speed up both the boarding and deplaning processes, del Rio said. "We need to make checking your bag easier and boarding your bag harder." In his final question, Clarke asked del Rio what directives he would issue concerning air travel safety if he were made "king for a day." He would have people get vaccinated and continue to wear masks, del Rio answered.
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To put this in perspective, Michaels noted that the global airline industry is an $800 billion dollar per year industry -- so the industry lost nearly half its expected revenue. In addition, airports around the world lost $115 billion and air navigation providers lost $13 billion.
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This is important for airlines, Michaels explained, because business travel is much more profitable than leisure travel. Before the COVID pandemic, about 30 percent of all trips taken on U.S.
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The global air cargo fleet is now operating at usage levels that are 10–20 percent higher than before the pandemic. As a result, air cargo accounted for about 30 percent of airline revenue in 2020, up from about 12 percent in 2019, and it provided an important revenue stream for major airlines struggling with losses in passenger travel.
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Next, Kopardekar asked about maintaining resilience in the airliner manufacturing industry, with a focus on the United States. Michaels answered that when the COVID pandemic hit, European countries saw a major threat to the supply chain for Airbus and stepped in with major support.
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12 AVIATION AFTER A YEAR OF PANDEMIC: ECONOMICS, PEOPLE, AND TECHNOLOGY away from fossil fuels for a basic physics reason. It takes a tremendous amount of energy to fly an aircraft that large for thousands of miles, and fossil fuels can store more energy in less weight than hydrogen or electric b atteries.
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