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Pages 593-637

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From page 593...
... RECOMMENDED PROGRAM: 2023–2032 593 TABLE 22-3  Representative PSD Programs for the Decade Program Element Recommended Program ($ million) Level Program ($ million)
From page 594...
... 594 ORIGINS, WORLDS, AND LIFE FIGURE 22-1  Recommended Program for the 2023 to 2032 decade. Costs are in real year dollars assuming 2 percent annual inflation.
From page 595...
... RECOMMENDED PROGRAM: 2023–2032 595 FIGURE 22-2  Level Program for the 2023 to 2032 Decade. Costs are in real year dollars assuming 2 percent annual inflation.
From page 596...
... 596 ORIGINS, WORLDS, AND LIFE 3. Reduce the funding level for Planetary Defense by removing the new-start mission after NEO Surveyor; 4.
From page 597...
... RECOMMENDED PROGRAM: 2023–2032 597 life and is therefore not the primary focus of most planetary spacecraft missions, but rather is supported through astrobiology research programs. The committee further emphasizes that the table is not intended to, and should not be used to, prioritize between the missions; for example, a mission that definitively answers a single question can be as impactful as one that makes progress on several questions.
From page 598...
... 598 ORIGINS, WORLDS, AND LIFE Infrastructure Chapter 20 provides a detailed discussion of PSD's infrastructure needs for the next decade and includes 17 findings and 7 recommendations. Here the committee presents several of the key elements and recommendations from that chapter.
From page 599...
... RECOMMENDED PROGRAM: 2023–2032 599 both established aerospace manufacturers and "new-space" enterprises. Some of these vehicles may have performance metrics suitable for planetary science missions on all scales.
From page 600...
... 600 ORIGINS, WORLDS, AND LIFE Human Exploration Chapter 19 provides a detailed discussion of human exploration activities and includes 16 findings and 6 recommendations. Here the committee presents several of the key elements and recommendations from that chapter.
From page 601...
... RECOMMENDED PROGRAM: 2023–2032 601 MEPAG (Mars Exploration Program Analysis Group)
From page 602...
... 23 The Future A decadal survey, by definition, looks 10 years ahead.1 Predicting the future is fraught with challenges. Moreover, many of the concepts and recommendations contained in the preceding chapters may not be implemented or their consequences known until multiple decades from now.
From page 603...
... THE FUTURE 603 Finding: The Committee on Astrobiology and Planetary Science is succeeding in its role of monitoring the imple mentation of the recommendations in the most recent relevant decadal survey as evidenced by the steady stream of requests from NASA for the committee's input. THE MIDTERM REVIEW Section 301(a)
From page 604...
... 604 ORIGINS, WORLDS, AND LIFE reiterated by CAPS and the midterm review (NASEM 2017, 2018) , and NASA eventually initiated the predecadal planetary mission concept study (PMCS)
From page 605...
... Appendixes
From page 607...
... Appendix A Letter of Request, Statement of Task, and Other Guidance
From page 608...
... 608 ORIGINS, WORLDS, AND LIFE LETTER OF REQUEST National Aeronautics and Space Administration Headquarters Washington, DC 20546-0001 October 24, 2019 SMD/Planetary Science Division Dr. Margaret Kivelson Chair, Space Studies Board The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine 500 5th Street NW Washington, DC 20001 Dear Dr.
From page 609...
... APPENDIX A 609 Planetary Science and Astrobiology Decadal Survey 2023–2032 The guiding document for the decadal survey is the statement of task. The items described in the sections on scope, considerations, approach, and so on are additional, nonbinding counsel for the survey committee and its staff while they carry out their work.
From page 610...
... 610 ORIGINS, WORLDS, AND LIFE 9. The state of the profession, including issues of diversity, inclusion, equity, and accessibility; the creation of safe workspaces; and recommended policies and practices to improve the state of the profession.
From page 611...
... APPENDIX A 611 CONSIDERATIONS National Science Foundation Recommendations For NSF, the survey will be most effective if it is aspirational, inspirational, and transformative. The decadal survey should assess how the current NSF portfolio of facilities and individual investigator grants address these priorities, as well as how currently planned and new facilities under consideration in the ASTRO2020 survey could benefit the planetary science priorities.
From page 612...
... 612 ORIGINS, WORLDS, AND LIFE 3. A discussion of strategic technology development needs and opportunities relevant to NASA planetary science programs.
From page 613...
... APPENDIX A 613 have the needed expertise across disciplines and diversity among their members, including gender, career stage, underrepresented groups, types and sizes of institutions, and geographic distribution. In designing and pricing the study, the National Academies' should include resources for independent and expert cost analysis support to ensure that all flight mission cost estimates can be meaningfully intercompared and are as accurate as possible, given the varying maturity of project concepts and other recognized uncertainties.
From page 614...
... Appendix B White Papers Received Broad community participation is one of the defining features of a decadal survey. One of the most effective means to engage the community is solicitation of input from any and all interested parties via the submission of white papers.
From page 615...
... APPENDIX B 615 EACH UNIQUE WHITE PAPER RECEIVED Abell, P., C Raymond, T
From page 616...
... 616 ORIGINS, WORLDS, AND LIFE Barge, L.M., L Rodriguez, J.M.
From page 617...
... APPENDIX B 617 Brooks, S., and T.M. Becker.
From page 618...
... 618 ORIGINS, WORLDS, AND LIFE Chanover, N., C Schmidt, and D
From page 619...
... APPENDIX B 619 de Pater, I., C Moeckel, J
From page 620...
... 620 ORIGINS, WORLDS, AND LIFE Fortney, J., M Marley, L
From page 621...
... APPENDIX B 621 Guillot, T., J Fortney, E
From page 622...
... 622 ORIGINS, WORLDS, AND LIFE Horgan, B., J.L. Bishop, A
From page 623...
... APPENDIX B 623 Karunatillake, S., A Bramson, K
From page 624...
... 624 ORIGINS, WORLDS, AND LIFE Lee, J., P.J. Boston, D
From page 625...
... APPENDIX B 625 McGouldrick, K., G Arney, A
From page 626...
... 626 ORIGINS, WORLDS, AND LIFE Murchie, S., R.E. Arvidson, J.L.
From page 627...
... APPENDIX B 627 Poppe, A., J.R. Szalay, C.M.
From page 628...
... 628 ORIGINS, WORLDS, AND LIFE Rivkin, A., M Milazzo, A
From page 629...
... APPENDIX B 629 Schwartz, J., and C Dreier.
From page 630...
... 630 ORIGINS, WORLDS, AND LIFE Sykes, M., A Pathare, G
From page 631...
... APPENDIX B 631 Vander Kaaden, K., M.S. Thompson, F.M.
From page 632...
... 632 ORIGINS, WORLDS, AND LIFE Williams, D., R.C. Anderson, S
From page 633...
... Appendix C Technical Risk and Cost Evaluation of Priority Missions BACKGROUND The survey's statement of task (see Preface and Appendix A) calls for "identifying, recommending, and ranking the highest priority research activities" in planetary science, astrobiology, and planetary defense.
From page 634...
... 634 ORIGINS, WORLDS, AND LIFE A comprehensive review of the then most recent round of space-science decadal surveys was conducted during a workshop held in 2012 (NASEM 2013) and again in a 2015 consensus study (NASEM 2015)
From page 635...
... APPENDIX C 635 NASA's key decision points KDP-B and KDP-C and design reviews such as PDR and the Critical Design Review (CDR)
From page 636...
... 636 ORIGINS, WORLDS, AND LIFE TABLE C-2  Mission Concepts Considered by the Decadal Survey for Technical Risk and Cost Evaluation Name Origin Disposition Additional Information Mercury Lander PMCS Selected for TRACE NASA 2020g and Appendix C Venus Flagship PMCS Selected for TRACE NASA 2020k and Appendix C Venera D SDT Not selected for TRACE Venera-D 2019 and Appendix D VISAN: Venus In Situ PV Not selected for study or Appendix E Seismic and Atmospheric TRACE Network VSCA: Venus Sub-Cloud PV Not selected for study or Appendix E Aerobot TRACE VLP: Venus Life Potential PV Not selected for study or Appendix E TRACE VIDEO: Venus PV Not selected for study or Appendix E Investigation of Dynamics TRACE from an Equatorial Orbit ADVENTS: Assessment PV Selected for study; not NASA 2021a and and Discovery of Venus's selected for TRACE Appendix D Past Evolution and Near Term Climatic and Geophysical State Lunar Geophysical PMCS and V&V Prioritized following NASA. 2020d and Network CATE by V&V; no Appendix C of V&V further action needed Intrepid: Lunar Long- PMCS Selected for TRACE NASA 2020c and Range Rover Traverse Appendix C Endurance: Lunar South PMM Selected for study and NASA 2021f and Pole Aitken–Basin Sample two variants selected for Appendix C Collecting Rover TRACE INSPIRE: In Situ Solar PMM Selected for study and NASA 2021g and System Polar Ice Roving selected for TRACE Appendix C Explorer MOSAIC: Mars Orbiter for PMCS Not selected for TRACE NASA 2020f and Surface-Atmospheric- Appendix D Ionospheric Connections MORIE: Mars Orbiter for PMCS Not selected for TRACE NASA 2020e and Resources, Ices, and Appendix D Environments Mars Life Explorer PM Selected for study and NASA 2021h and selected for TRACE Appendix C Mars In Situ PMCS Selected for TRACE NASA 2020b, additional Geochronology detail from originating team, and Appendix C Mars Deep Time Rover PM Not selected for study; Appendix E not selected for TRACE Mars Polar Ice, Climate PM Not selected for study; Appendix E and Organics not selected for TRACE Ceres Sample Return PMCS Selected for TRACE NASA 2020h and Appendix C Cryogenic Comet Nucleus PSSSB Selected for study.
From page 637...
... APPENDIX C 637 TABLE C-2  Continued Enceladus Orbilander PMCS Selected for TRACE NASA 2020a, additional details from originating team, and Appendix C Enceladus Multiple Flyby Prior study Selected for TRACE NASA 2021e and documentation Appendix C made available to survey Titan Orbiter and Probe Prior study Version without the sea NASA 2021i and documentation probe selected for TRACE Appendix C made available to survey Saturn Ring Skimmer PGPS Not selected for study or Appendix E TRACE Centaur Orbiter and Lander PSSSB Selected for study and NASA 2021c, and selected for TRACE Appendix C Uranus Orbiter and Probe PGPS and Selected for study and NASA 2021j and POWDP selected for TRACE Appendix C Calypso: Uranus Moon and PSSSB and Selected for study and NASA 2021b and KBO Flyby POWDP selected for TRACE Appendix C Odyssey: Neptune Orbiter PMCS Selected for TRACE NASA 2020i, additional and Probe details from originating team, and Appendix C Triton Ocean World POWDP Selected for study and NASA 2021k and Surveyor selected for TRACE Appendix C Persephone: Pluto System PMCS Not selected for TRACE NASA 2020j and Orbiter and Kuiper Belt Appendix D Explorer Interstellar Object Rapid PSSSB Not selected for study or Appendix E Response Mission for TRACE Solar System Space Cross-panel group Not selected for study or Appendix E Telescope for TRACE NOTES: Green, orange, and pink shading, respectively, indicate that a concept was studied and selected for TRACE, was studied but not selected for TRACE, and was suggested but not studied. PGPS, Panel on Giant Planet Systems; PM, Panel on Mars; PMM, Panel on Mercury and Moon; POWDP, Panel on Ocean Worlds and Dwarf Planets; PSSSB, Panel on Small Solar System Bod ies; PV, Panel on Venus; PMCS, Predecadal Mission Concept Study; SDT, Science Definition Teams; V&V, Vision and Voyages decadal survey (NRC 2011)

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