Applications of an Analytic Framework on Using Public Opinion Data for Solving Intelligence Problems Proceedings of a Workshop (2022) / Chapter Skim
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Appendix A: Workshop Agenda
Appendix A: Workshop Agenda
Pages 55-62
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This workshop will briefly present the Analytic Framework and demonstrate its application across a series of hypothetical scenarios that might be faced by an intelligence analyst tasked with summarizing public attitudes to inform a policy decision.
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Department of State 10:20 am WORKSHOP GOALS Charles Lau, Co-Lead Expert Contributor for the Analytic Framework Director, International Survey Research Program RTI International 10:35 am CHALLENGES ANALYSTS FACE A representative from the Intelligence Community will describe some of the challenges intelligence analysts face to foreground the workshop in their experiences.
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Cultural Considerations Michele Gelfand, Expert Contributor for the Analytic Framework John H Scully Professor in Cross-Cultural Management and Professor of Organizational Behavior, Stanford Graduate School of Business Professor of Psychology (by courtesy)
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2:25 pm SCENARIO 1: Evaluating Political Support in a Multi Ethnic Country IC Analyst Rachel is an early career IC analyst with limited background in survey research. Country Multi-ethnic, low-income country IC analyst task Rachel is tasked with summarizing the public's attitudes about the prime minister within 5 business days, with a focus on variation by ethnic groups.
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The Ohio State University Scott E Page, Expert Contributor for the Analytic Framework John Seely Brown Distinguished University Professor of Complexity, Social Science, and Management University of Michigan Elizabeth Zechmeister Representative from the Intelligence Community 3:25 pm WRAP UP DAY ONE Charles Lau 3:35 pm ADJOURN DAY ONE Wednesday, March 9, 2022 10:00 am WELCOME AND OVERVIEW OF DAY TWO Charles Lau 10:10 am SCENARIO 2: REACTING TO A MILITARY COUP IC Analyst Tanya is a mid-level IC analyst with 5 years of experience working surveys Country Middle-income country.
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Duke University Courtney Kennedy, Expert Contributor for the Analytic Framework Director, Survey Research Pew Research Center Lisa Mueller, Expert Contributor for the Analytic Framework Associate Professor of Political Science Macalester College Representative from the Intelligence Community 11:10 am SCENARIO 3: ANTICIPATING POLITICAL INSTABILITY IC Analyst Luis is an early career IC analyst with no background in survey research Region Politically unstable region (~15 countries) with significant security challenges
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Druckman, Expert Contributor for the Analytic Framework Payson S Wild Professor of Political Science Northwestern University Charles Lau Representative from the Intelligence Community 12:10 pm SCENARIO FOUR SELECTION National Academies Staff 12:30 pm BREAK FOR LUNCH 2:00 pm SCENARIO 4: AUDIENCE CHOICE Expert Contributors for the Analytic Framework Representative from the Intelligence Community
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3:45 pm WRAP-UP/CLOSING REMARKS Elizabeth Zechmeister Charles Lau Representative from the Intelligence Community 4:15 pm ADJOURN WORKSHOP
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