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Anticipating Rare Events of Major Significance Proceedings of a Workshop (2022) / Chapter Skim
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1 Introduction and Overview
Pages 1-2

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From page 1...
... Intelligence preparation of the battlefield includes information about, and warnings related to, significant rare events. Intelligence preparation for high-risk environments catalyzed by rare events requires some of the most difficult types of time-sensitive data collection, situational interpretation, and analysis to establish priorities using multiple criteria.
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From page 2...
... Planning committee members and National Academies staff worked with the sponsor in advance of the meeting to refine the workshop's topics for discussion. Approximately 85 participants, including the planning committee, invited panelists, national security community staff and officials, and National Academies staff, participated in the virtual workshop.
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Key Terms

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  • intelligence preparation

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  • security community
  • event analysis
  • quantitative factors
  • invited panelists
  • ficult types

  • upcoming chapters
  • reduction agency
  • includes information
  • align opportunistic
  • highly focused

  • situational interpretation
  • assigning responsibility
  • intelligence advanced
  • data sparsity
  • threat reduction

  • potential speakers
  • conducting predictive
  • missed signals
  • developing decision
  • community staff


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