The National Academies Press

Currently Skimming:

Pages 7-21

The Chapter Skim interface presents what we've algorithmically identified as the most significant single chunk of text within every page in the chapter.
Select key terms on the right to highlight them within pages of the chapter.

From page 7... ... 7 Market Assessment Chapter 2 assesses the UAM market by major market segments of the UAM value chain, including • Original equipment manufacturers (OEM) and service providers, • Infrastructure operators, • Flight service providers, • Maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) Read the entire page →
From page 8... ... 8 Urban Air Mobility: An Airport Perspective 2.1 Methodology The research team defined a set of guiding principles for the market assessment to ensure that rigorous methods were applied while allowing for practical considerations for nascent technology with undefined operating models and uncertain regulatory pathways. The team established the following guiding principles for market sizing from prior case studies in nascent technology, including consumer technology, shared mobility services, and mobile telephony: 1. Read the entire page →
From page 9... ... Market Assessment 9 Use Cases Description Aerial Vehicles Selected Airport/Vertiport Needs Commercial Passenger Services Air Taxi • On-demand transportation within the city, similar to conventional ride sharing. This includes transport to and from the airport from STOLports/vertiports in the city. Read the entire page →
From page 10... ... 10 Urban Air Mobility: An Airport Perspective Case 1: Passenger Air Mobility Because the stated focus of the Airport Cooperative Research Program (ACRP) 03-50 is the 2025–2035 period, the research is primarily interested in the Air Metro use case for passenger transport. Read the entire page →
From page 11... ... Market Assessment 11 – Locations: Early vertiports may build on existing infrastructure (e.g., the tops of parking garages) or use open land near highway interchanges, according to concepts offered by early conveners of the UAM industry. Read the entire page →
From page 12... ... 12 Urban Air Mobility: An Airport Perspective – Daily Trips: A single sUAS is projected to complete on average 10 delivery trips per day, calculated by dividing estimated hours of operation (5:00 am to 10:00 pm) by mission time. Read the entire page →
From page 13... ... Market Assessment 13 • Route and Network Assumptions include the following: – Mission Components: Air Medevac missions are categorized into three sub-missions (response, transport, and return) , mirroring the existing air ambulance mission structure: ▪ The response is defined as the time between the vehicle's initial dispatch and its arrival on the scene. Read the entire page →
From page 14... ... 14 Urban Air Mobility: An Airport Perspective • Adoption rates of each use case for UAM will be similar to (and calibrated against) other novel technologies and paradigms that have been met with steady and gradual adoption when introduced to new markets. Read the entire page →
From page 15... ... Market Assessment 15 Segments are defined based on the value provided, who the customer is, and what each customer is willing to pay. For an airport, both the airport operator and the airline earn revenue based on operations conducted at the actual site. Read the entire page →
From page 16... ... 16 Urban Air Mobility: An Airport Perspective For infrastructure developers, Air Cargo will be the dominating UAM use case in the next decade, with a downside estimate of $14 billion in 2025 and $53 billion by 2035 (Table 3) Read the entire page →
From page 17... ... Market Assessment 17 Similar to the infrastructure developer segment described above, the use case for the infrastructure operator segment is consistently the largest in the Air Cargo market. For all scenarios and time periods, the Air Cargo infrastructure operator market is one to several orders of magnitude larger than Air Metro or Air Medevac. Read the entire page →
From page 18... ... 18 Urban Air Mobility: An Airport Perspective which will increase to nearly $48 billion in 2035, as a result of growth in parcel delivery demand and because the drone delivery market will assume a larger portion of that demand. Similarly, the team anticipates rapid growth in Air Metro flight service between 2025 and 2035, growing from $110 million to $20.6 billion. Read the entire page →
From page 19... ... Market Assessment 19 slightly less than $20 million. Just 10 years later, in 2035, both Air Metro and Air Cargo increase to $4 billion and just over $2 billion, respectively, while Air Medevac will increase to around $70 million. Read the entire page →
From page 20... ... 20 Urban Air Mobility: An Airport Perspective The Air Metro and Air Medevac use cases reflect lower valuation figures than the Air Cargo use case because of the large difference in predicted fleet sizes. Air Cargo operations will reach larger adoption rates at earlier stages, so substantial fleet operation and logistics costs are expected, including the following: • Estimated Air Metro fleet management labor costs used employment numbers from the Washington, D.C., public transit system financial records. Read the entire page →
From page 21... ... Market Assessment 21 the limited number of trips for the Air Metro use case does not provide a clear picture of the amount of physical security and related infrastructure needed. Physical security does not represent a large portion of the value chain, particularly during the early stages of the market. Read the entire page →

From page 7...

... 7 Market Assessment Chapter 2 assesses the UAM market by major market segments of the UAM value chain, including • Original equipment manufacturers (OEM) and service providers, • Infrastructure operators, • Flight service providers, • Maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO)