Review of the Department of Energy's Inertial Confinement Fusion Program The National Ignition Facility (1997) / Chapter Skim
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6 Findings and Conclusions
6 Findings and Conclusions
Pages 36-37
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From page 36... ...
THE SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY HAVE PROGRESSED SUFFICIENTLY TO ALLOW THE NIF PROJECT TO PROCEED AS PLANNED In assessing the scientific and technical readiness of the NIF project, the committee attempted to balance the NIF's potential value against the risk inherent in the extrapolation from the present base of experimental and computational experience. The science supporting the NIF fusion objectives includes the physics of the imploding capsule and the physics of laser-hohlraum interactions.
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From page 37... ...
In sum, the committee believes that the NIF can be delivered to specifications within the stated TPC, as augmented by LLNL-projected operating funds, allowing the high-energy-density and ignition experimental programs to proceed; there are no identifiable "show stoppers." The achievement of ignition appears likely, but not guaranteed. The steady scientific and technological progress in TCF during the 6 years since the last National Research Council review, the plausibility of ignition estimates based on the experimental and modeling results and capabilities in hand, and the flexibility of the facility all support the committee's finding that the NIF project is technologically and scientifically ready to proceed as planned with reasonable confidence in the attainment of its objectives.
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