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Pages 98-107

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From page 98...
... Proc.
From page 99...
... Colloquium Paper: Thomson concentration of atmospheric CO2 increased by 4.7% between 1854 and 1918 (8) , only one-quarter of the 1951-1980 rate.
From page 100...
... 8372 Colloquium Paper: Thomson Similarly, confidence intervals for parameters derived from time series are often based on an assumed Gaussian distribution. It appears that this assumption is invalid for climate data: there are outliers, predominantly from volcanic effects, and, surprisingly, some quantities appear to be more stable than one would expect from a Gaussian distribution.
From page 101...
... Colloquium Paper: Thomson 2( _ u, ,, ~~ i, o cat a> v, c, ce ce ~i'`\ 2 ~N ~ 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45 0.50 Frequency in cycles/year / , .
From page 102...
... 8374 Colloquium Paper: Thomson quency-domain estimates of transfer functions are not presented here. Temperature Response Models and Transfer Function Estimates I attempted to assess the simultaneous effects of solar variability and greenhouse gases by estimating transfer functions.
From page 103...
... Colloquium Paper: Thomson characteristic persists with improved early CO2 data, it implies that large transient responses may be possible. In addition to thermal inertia, the observed feedback from temperature to CO2 also generates persistence.
From page 104...
... 8376 Colloquium Paper: Thomson o o _ 0 _ Northern Hemisphere . ~ Southern Hemisphere o 95 % - J /O _ _ O ~I I I I ~I I I I 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45 0.50 Frequency in cycles/year FIG.
From page 105...
... Colloquium Paper: Thomson characteristic persists with improved early CO2 data, it implies that large transient responses may be possible. In addition to thermal inertia, the observed feedback from temperature to CO2 also generates persistence.
From page 106...
... 8376 Colloquium Paper: Thomson o o _ 0 _ Northern Hemisphere . ~ Southern Hemisphere o 95 % - J /O _ _ O ~I I I I ~I I I I 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45 0.50 Frequency in cycles/year FIG.
From page 107...
... Colloquium Paper: Thomson duce warm and cool regions that interchange over decade to century time scales (32, 36) , but whose effects largely cancel in hemispheric averages.

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