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1.1 Introduction
Pages 1-7

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From page 1...
... To some extent, this model is tailored to the information available on the WFS standard recode tapes; however, crucial assumptions and requirements of the model fit other fertility surveys as well. The model we develop here integrates diverse hypotheses on the determinants of fertility behavior, including many of the insights contained in frameworks proposed by Davis and Blake (1956)
From page 2...
... me theoretical reasoning behind the model makes it equally meaningful for estimating the micro equations for relatively undifferentiated and economically underdeveloped societies, for highly fragmented and inegalitarian societies, and for somewhat modernized bureaucratic societies. The magnitudes, and sometimes the directions, of the effects of specific socioeconomic factors can be expected to vary across societies in meaningful ways.
From page 3...
... Major world religions vary in their emphasis on the value of children and their prescriptions regarding family size and contraception. Likewise, ethnic groups differ for historical and cultural reasons in their receptiveness to Western values concerning work, achievement, and economic advancement, all of which can relate to fertility regulation.
From page 4...
... Onset is a crucial component both because it constrains fertility and because it can reflect explicit decision making about subsequent fertility behavior. Early and later fertility are distinguished to permit accurate modeling of the fertility process at the micro level, as well as to clarify differences among social settings at the macro level.
From page 5...
... Causality m e decomposition of the fertility process into onset, early fertility, and later fertility is crucial to the determination of causal links within the micro-level model for three reasons.2 First, these three components are themselves causally related, and modeling these relationships should prove revealing. Onset circumscribes early fertility by constraining exposure time.
From page 6...
... A second advantage of using the three-component fertility process is that it serves as the basis for a richer and more precise structural equations model than would be possible if we were to use children ever born in place of early and later fertility. For example, our division of child mortality into early (child deaths occurring before mothers reach age 30)
From page 7...
... Our structural equations model contains curvilinear relationships and interaction terms. The implied reduced-form expression of children ever born as a function of respondent education and childhood residence also involves a curvilinearity in the education-children ever born relationship.


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