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Socioeconomic Determinants of Fertility Behavior in Developing Nations Theory and Initial Results (1982) / Chapter Skim
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1.5 Conclusions
Pages 44-49

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From page 44...
... On the other hand, if we think alternative assumptions about sex preference are appropriate, we can reach conclusions of varying firmness about the socioeconomic effects. ffl ese conclusions concern functional form, as well as expectations about the nature of covariabilty between implied and actual semireduced form socioeconomic effects and the degree of transitionality.
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From page 45...
... In particular, it is theoretically uncertain whether each of these three endogenous variables is affected by a predetermined variable that does not affect the other two. Second, even granting that there may be such predetermined variables, we do not consider them to be operationalized in the WFS data sets or other similar surveys.
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From page 46...
... Thus, unlike the WFS data, the model Is not constrained by decisions made ten years ago. The model is tailored to available data in an attempt to fit current theoretical understanding and empirical knowledge to the variables provided in the WFS data sets.
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From page 47...
... Hey do not appear to provide a productive vocabulary for the study of the kinds of changes now taking place in developing countries. In our thinking, the traditional and transitional labels apply to a continuum of a single operational variable, pervasiveness of contraception, with traditional settings defined as the zero point.
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From page 48...
... For example, these settings include societies in which there has been little industrialization, but some portion of the population has begun limiting family size because of the influence of family planning programs. Also included are societies in which there may be little family planning program effort, or ineffective organized efforts, but in which some industrialization has taken place.
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From page 49...
... In addition empirical research based on the model as developed thus far is both practical and desirable. Thus the following chapter presents the results of an initial, tentative empirical application of the micro-macro model to 15 countries and illustrates the micro specification for two countries -- Peru and Korea.
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Key Terms

  • child mortality
  • transitional settings
  • wfs data
  • semireduced form
  • contraceptive behavior

  • socioeconomic effects
  • family size
  • traditional settings
  • sex preference
  • limiting family

  • socioeconomic variables
  • structural model
  • micro equations
  • form coefficients
  • coefficients depend

  • ideal types
  • form model
  • socioeconomic status
  • family planning
  • actual semireduced

  • theoretical understanding
  • inherently broader
  • explicitly based
  • competing theoretical
  • fit current

  • salient knowledge
  • include societies
  • transitional labels
  • specific data
  • develop hypotheses


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