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Suggested Citation:"Section 8 - References." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2013. Strategic Issues Facing Transportation, Volume 1: Scenario Planning for Freight Transportation Infrastructure Investment. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/22628.
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Below is the uncorrected machine-read text of this chapter, intended to provide our own search engines and external engines with highly rich, chapter-representative searchable text of each book. Because it is UNCORRECTED material, please consider the following text as a useful but insufficient proxy for the authoritative book pages.

79 Caplice, C., and E. Blanco. 2006. Freight Transportation Infrastructure Survey: Causes and Solutions to the Current Capacity Crisis, MIT Center for Transportation and Logistics (CTL) Working Paper Series, Cambridge, MA. CISCO and GBN. 2010. The Evolving Internet: Driving Forces, Uncertainties, and Four Scenarios to 2025. Cousens, R., Steinberg, T., White, B., & Walton, S. (2002). Generic Scenarios: A Strategic Futures Paper. Strategic Futures. De Jouvenel, Hugues. 2000. A Brief Methodological Guide to Scenario Building. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 65:37–48. Deutsche Post AG. 2012. Delivering Tomorrow: Logistics 2050—A Scenario Study. Bonn, Germany: Deutsche Post AG. De Wit, B., and Meyer, R. 2010. Strategy: Process, Content, Context. Cengage Learning EMEA Higher Education. Federal Highway Administration. 2007. The Transportation Planning Process: Key Issues. A Briefing Book for Transportation Decisionmakers, Officials, and Staff. Retrieved 11/17/2010 from www.planning.dot.gov/ documents/BriefingBook/BBook.htm. Garvin, David A., and Lynne C. Levesque. 2006. Strategic Planning at United Parcel Service. Harvard Business School Case Study, 9-306-002. Lempert, Robert J., Steven W. Popper, and Steven C. Bankes. 2003. Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative Long-Term Policy Analysis. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation. Lindgren, Matts, and Hans Bandhold. 2009. Scenario Planning: The Link Between Future and Strategy. Palgrave MacMillan. Office of Freight Management and Operations. 2010. Freight Facts and Figures 2010, U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration. Phadnis, Shardul. 2012. Influencing Managerial Cognition and Decisions Using Scenarios for Long-Range Planning. Unpublished Doctoral Dissertation, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA. Ringland, G. 1998. Scenario planning: Managing for the Future. West Sussex, England: John Wiley & Sons. Rogers, E. 2011. Global Strategy Manager, UPS, Conversation with authors. Royal Dutch. 2005. Shell Global Scenarios to 2025—The Future Business Environment: Trends, Trade-Offs, and Choices. Shell International Limited. Sánchez-Valero, Miguel Ángel. 2011. Merging Qualitative and Quantitative Criteria for Freight Investment Using Scenario Planning. Unpublished Master’s Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA. Scearce, Diana, and Katherine Fulton. 2004. What if? The Art of Scenario Thinking for Non-Profits. Global Business Network—Monitor Group. (www.gbn.com/articles/pdfs/GBN_What%20If.pdf). Schoemaker, Paul J. H. 1993. Multiple Scenario Development: Its Conceptual and Behavioral Foundation. Strategic Management Journal, vol. 14, pp. 193–213. Schoemaker, Paul J. H. 1995. Scenario Planning: A Tool for Strategic Thinking. MIT Sloan Management Review, vol. 36(2), pp. 25–40. Schwartz, Peter. 1991. The Art of the Long View. New York, NY: Doubleday Currency. Transportation for Communities Advancing Projects through Partnerships. 2011. Retrieved from http://www. transportationforcommunities.com/shrpc01/. Wack, Pierre. 1985a. The Gentle Art of Re-Perceiving—Scenarios (Part 2): Uncharted Waters Ahead. Harvard Business Review. 85(5) pp. 72–89. Wack, Pierre. 1985b. The Gentle Art of Re-Perceiving—Scenarios (Part 1): Shooting the Rapids. Harvard Business Review. 85(6) pp. 139–150. Zegras, Chris, Joseph Sussman, and Christopher Conklin. 2004. Scenario Planning for Strategic Regional Transportation Planning. Journal of Urban Planning and Development. March, pp. 2–13. S e c t i o n 8 References

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Strategic Issues Facing Transportation, Volume 1: Scenario Planning for Freight Transportation Infrastructure Investment Get This Book
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 Strategic Issues Facing Transportation, Volume 1: Scenario Planning for Freight Transportation Infrastructure Investment
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TRB’s National Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP) Report 750: Strategic Issues Facing Transportation, Volume 1: Scenario Planning for Freight Transportation Infrastructure Investment analyzes the driving forces behind high-impact economic and social changes as well as sourcing patterns that may affect the U.S. freight transportation system. The report also introduces scenario planning as a tool that can be used in conjunction with other planning methods to improve the quality of long-range transportation infrastructure planning.

Four future scenarios were developed as part of the project that created NCHRP Report 750, as well as a detailed methodology that planners can follow to conduct their own scenario planning workshops. The scenarios and methodology are included in a DVD format with the print version of the report.

The DVDs are also available for download from TRB’s website as ISO images. Links to the ISO images and instructions for burning a DVD from an ISO image are provided below.

Help on Burning an .ISO DVD Image

Download the .ISO DVD Image 1: Data

Download the .ISO DVD Image 2: Videos

(Warning: These are very large files--more than 1.3 GB each--and may take about an hour to download using a high-speed connection.)

A detailed discussion of the driving forces analyzed in NCHRP Report 750, Volume 1 is contained in NCHRP Web-Only Document 195: Driving Forces Influencing Future Freight Flows.

NCHRP Report 750, Volume 1 is the first in a series of reports being produced by NCHRP Project 20-83: Long-Range Strategic Issues Facing the Transportation Industry. Major trends affecting the future of the United States and the world will dramatically reshape transportation priorities and needs. The American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO) established the NCHRP Project 20-83 research series to examine global and domestic long-range strategic issues and their implications for state departments of transportation (DOTs); AASHTO's aim for the research series is to help prepare the DOTs for the challenges and benefits created by these trends.

Other volumes in this series currently available include:

• NCHRP Report 750: Strategic Issues Facing Transportation, Volume 2: Climate Change, Extreme Weather Events, and the Highway System: Practitioner’s Guide and Research Report

• NCHRP Report 750: Strategic Issues Facing Transportation, Volume 3: Expediting Future Technologies for Enhancing Transportation System Performance

• NCHRP Report 750: Strategic Issues Facing Transportation, Volume 4: Sustainability as an Organizing Principle for Transportation Agencies

• NCHRP Report 750: Strategic Issues Facing Transportation, Volume 5: Preparing State Transportation Agencies for an Uncertain Energy Future

• NCHRP Report 750: Strategic Issues Facing Transportation, Volume 6: The Effects of Socio-Demographics on Future Travel Demand

DVD-ROM Disclaimer - This software is offered as is, without warranty or promise of support of any kind either expressed or implied. Under no circumstance will the National Academy of Sciences or the Transportation Research Board (collectively "TRB") be liable for any loss or damage caused by the installation or operation of this product. TRB makes no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, in fact or in law, including without limitation, the warranty of merchantability or the warranty of fitness for a particular purpose, and shall not in any case be liable for any consequential or special damages.

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