Review of the Draft Fifth
National Climate Assessment
______
Committee to Review the Draft Fifth National Climate Assessment
Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate
Division on Earth and Life Studies
Board on Environmental Change and Society
Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education
Consensus Study Report
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This activity was supported by a contract between the National Academy of Sciences and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the views of any organization or agency that provided support for the project.
International Standard Book Number-13: 978-0-309-69523-7
International Standard Book Number-10: 0-309-69523-6
Digital Object Identifier: https://doi.org/10.17226/26757
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Suggested citation: National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Review of the Draft Fifth National Climate Assessment. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/26757.
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COMMITTEE TO REVIEW THE DRAFT FIFTH NATIONAL CLIMATE ASSESSMENT
JOEL B. SMITH (Chair), Independent Researcher
MARISSA AHO, Washington State Department of Natural Resources
SHANONDORA BILLIOT, Arizona State University
MICHAEL DETTINGER (NAE), Scripps Institution of Oceanography and Desert Research Institute
JANET FRANKLIN (NAS), San Diego State University
JADA GAROFALO, Abt Associates
SHINENG HU, Duke University
RICHARD JACKSON (NAM), University of California, Los Angeles
RACHAEL JONASSEN, The George Washington University
NATALIE MAHOWALD, Cornell University
REGAN F. PATTERSON, University of California, Los Angeles
YEUMING (LUCY) QIU, University of Maryland, College Park
CHARLES (CHUCK) RICE, Kansas State University
ANJALI SAUTHOFF, Independent Environmental Health Scientist
DAVID L. SKOLE, Michigan State University
PHILIP R. THOMPSON, University of Hawai‘i at Mānoa
KRISTIN TIMM, International Arctic Research Center, University of Alaska Fairbanks
GARY YOHE, Wesleyan University (Emeritus)
Study Staff
MORGAN DISBROW-MONZ, Study Director
RACHEL SILVERN, Program Officer
STEVEN STICHTER, Senior Program Officer
HANNAH STEWART, Associate Program Officer
LINDSAY MOLLER, Senior Program Assistant
BOARD ON ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES AND CLIMATE
MARY GLACKIN (Chair), The Weather Company, an IBM Business (Retired)
CYNTHIA S. ATHERTON, Heising-Simons Foundation
ELIZABETH A. BARNES, Colorado State University
BRAD R. COLMAN, The Climate Corporation (Retired)
BART E. CROES, California Air Resources Board (Retired)
NEIL DONAHUE, Carnegie Mellon University
ROBERT B. DUNBAR, Stanford University
LESLEY-ANN DUPIGNY-GIROUX, University of Vermont
EFI FOUFOULA-GEORGIOU (NAE), University of California, Irvine
PETER C. FRUMHOFF, Union of Concerned Scientists
ROBERT KOPP, Rutgers University, The State University of New Jersey
RUBY LEUNG (NAE), Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
ZHANQING LI, University of Maryland
JONATHAN MARTIN, University of Wisconsin–Madison
AMY MCGOVERN, Oklahoma State University
LINDA O. MEARNS, National Center for Atmospheric Research
JONATHAN A. PATZ (NAM), University of Wisconsin–Madison
J. MARSHALL SHEPHERD (NAS/NAE), University of Georgia
DAVID W. TITLEY, US Navy (Retired) and The Pennsylvania State University
ARADHNA TRIPATI, University of California, Los Angeles
ELKE U. WEBER (NAS), Princeton University
National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine Staff
AMANDA STAUDT, Senior Board Director
APURVA DAVE, Senior Program Officer
APRIL MELVIN, Senior Program Officer
AMANDA PURCELL, Senior Program Officer
STEVEN STICHTER, Senior Program Officer
ALEX REICH, Program Officer
RACHEL SILVERN, Program Officer
MORGAN DISBROW-MONZ, Associate Program Officer
BRIDGET MCGOVERN, Associate Program Officer
PATRICIA RAZAFINDRAMBININA, Associate Program Officer
HUGH WALPOLE, Associate Program Officer
RITA GASKINS, Administrative Coordinator
AMY MITSUMORI, Research Associate
ROB GREENWAY, Program Associate
KYLE ALDRIDGE, Senior Program Assistant
LINDSAY MOLLER, Senior Program Assistant
SABAH RANA, Senior Program Assistant
RACHEL SANCHEZ, Program Assistant
BOARD ON ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND SOCIETY
KRIS EBI (Chair), University of Washington
BILAL M. AYYUB, University of Maryland, College Park
LISA DILLING, University of Colorado Boulder and Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences
KENNETH GILLINGHAM, Yale University (Emeritus)
LORI HUNTER, University of Colorado Boulder
KATHARINE L. JACOBS, Center for Climate Adaptation Science and Solutions and University of Arizona
STEPHEN H. LINDER, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston
GARY E. MACHLIS, Clemson University
MICHAEL A. MÉNDEZ, University of California, Irvine
ASEEM PRAKASH, University of Washington
BENJAMIN K. SOVACOOL, Boston University
MICHAEL VANDENBERGH, Vanderbilt University
CATHY L. WHITLOCK (NAS), Montana State University
National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine Staff
THOMAS THORNTON, Board Director
SITARA RAHIAB, Senior Program Officer
JOHN BEN SOILEAU, Program Officer
SHARON BRITT, Program Coordinator
HANNAH STEWART, Associate Program Officer
GRACE BETTS, Research Associate
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Reviewers
This Consensus Study Report was reviewed in draft form by individuals chosen for their diverse perspectives and technical expertise. The purpose of this independent review is to provide candid and critical comments that will assist the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine in making each published report as sound as possible and to ensure that it meets the institutional standards for quality, objectivity, evidence, and responsiveness to the study charge. The review comments and draft manuscript remain confidential to protect the integrity of the deliberative process.
We thank the following individuals for their review of this report:
KAREN AKERLOF, George Mason University
PHILIP ARDANUY, INNOVIM, LLC
ANA DIEZ ROUX (NAM), Drexel University
ALISON EAGLE, Environmental Defense Fund
TONYA GRAHAM, Geos Institute
ROBERT KOPP, Rutgers University
JULIE PULLEN, Propellor
JULIE RAYMOND-YAKOUBIAN, Kawerak, Inc.
LORETTA SINGLETARY, University of Nevada, Reno
CATHY WHITLOCK (NAS), Montana State University
Although the reviewers listed above provided many constructive comments and suggestions, they were not asked to endorse the conclusions or recommendations of this report, nor did they see the final draft before its release. The review of this report was overseen by KAI LEE, Owl of Minerva, LLC, and ANTONIO BUSALACCHI (NAE), University Corporation for Atmospheric Research. They were responsible for making certain that an independent examination of this report was carried out in accordance with the standards of the National Academies and that all review comments were carefully considered. Responsibility for the final content rests entirely with the authoring committee and the National Academies.
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Contents
The Committee’s Approach to This Report
2 Overarching Comments and Recommendations
Addressing the Mandate in the Global Change Research Act of 1990
Recommendations for Consistent Structures
Additional Inconsistencies Between Chapters
Recommendations on Equity and Justice
Chapter 3: Earth System Processes
Chapter 5: Energy Supply, Delivery, and Demand
Chapter 6: Land Cover and Land-Use Change
Chapter 8: Ecosystems, Ecosystem Services, and Biodiversity
Chapter 10: Oceans and Marine Resources
Chapter 11: Agriculture, Food Systems, and Rural Communities
Chapter 12: Built Environment, Urban Systems, and Cities
Chapter 16: Tribes and Indigenous Peoples
Chapter 17: Climate Effects on US International Interests
Chapter 18: Sector Interactions, Multiple Stressors, and Complex Systems
Chapter 26: Southern Great Plains
Chapter 30: Hawai‘i and US-Affiliated Pacific Islands
Focus on Compound and Complex Events
Focus on COVID-19 and Climate Change
Focus on Risks to Supply Chains
Appendix 3: Scenarios and Datasets
Appendix A Line-by-Line Comments
Appendix B Committee Member Biographical Sketches
