Assessing and Responding to the Growth of Computer Science Undergraduate Enrollments (2018) / Chapter Skim
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Appendix D: White Paper: Does the Recent Increase in Computer Science Degrees Reflect Increased Demand?
Appendix D: White Paper: Does the Recent Increase in Computer Science Degrees Reflect Increased Demand?
Pages 185-194
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From page 185... ...
I then examine employment and wages in computer science as well as engineering and natural science to examine whether the increased choice of computer science as a major appears to be responding to increased demand. I close by speculating what forces 1 Prepared for the National Academy of Sciences Committee on the Growth of Computer Science Undergraduate Enrollments.
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From page 186... ...
I do not study increased enrollment in computer science by non-majors. GROWTH IN COMPUTER SCIENCE DEGREES In Figure D.1, the number of computer and information science (henceforth computer science)
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From page 187... ...
The sizes of the computer science booms and busts look different if one views them as a share of all bachelor's degrees conferred. Figure D.3 shows that the pace at which computer science bachelor's degrees have been expanding recently is much slower than in the two previous booms.
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From page 188... ...
The two booms are therefore likely to have a common cause. EXPLANATIONS FOR PAST BOOMS AND BUSTS IN COMPUTER SCIENCE DEGREES The principle of boom and bust in degrees awarded in a particular field was established by Freeman (1975)
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From page 189... ...
ARE COMPUTER SCIENCE DEGREES RISING CURRENTLY BECAUSE DEMAND IS RISING? The current boom in enrollment and degrees awarded in computer science has not yet received the same attention as the earlier cycles.
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From page 190... ...
. American Community Survey data from 2014 show that 51 percent of employed computer science graduates age 22 to 26 worked in computer science occupations, compared to 36 percent of employed engineering graduates who worked in engineering occupations.
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From page 191... ...
Computer occupations include computer programming. SOURCE: Current Population Survey Merged Outgoing Rotation Groups, 1979-2015.
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From page 192... ...
Young native college graduates 35 35 25 30 25 30 2014 $ 2014 $ 20 20 15 15 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Computer, Mathematics Engineering, Architecture Sciences FIGURE D.6 Median hourly wages of workers in computer and related occupations. All workers are age 18-64; young workers are age 22-26.
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From page 193... ...
, science, technology, engi eering, and mathematics majors graduating in a recession suffered less n deterioraion of their employment and wage outcomes than other majors. The tim t ing of the increased computer science and engineering degrees is fairly consistent with this (see Figure D.3, where the red vertical line indicates 2008)
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From page 194... ...
Furthermore, there has been an equal increase in the share of engineering bachelor's degrees, suggesting that common forces may be affecting the two fields. Data on employment and wages suggest the increase in computer science and engineering bachelor's degrees is caused by the combination of a moderate shift out (increase)
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